Kufamba neshamwari dzeSyria mazuvano kunogona kunge kusingafadzi. Kunyangwe munyika yeArabhu. Kana kuti nditi: kunyanya munyika yeArab.
Dzimwe nguva, mutambo wakajeka, dzimwe nguva unosetsa; zvichienderana nemukuru weimmigration uye backroom intelligence agent.
Pasinei nekubatana nechikonzero chavo kuMadokero nekuMabvazuva zvakafanana, zviri pamutemo, ivo kazhinji havagamuchirwe, kana kurambwa.
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Ndinovaudza nehafu- vachiseka kuti vanga vari "Palestinized". Vanoitora muchidimbu serumbidzo; chikamu sechituko.
Palestinization
Zvinosuruvarisa, iko kutukwa ndicho chokwadi, tichifunga nezvavanosangana nazvo nekuda kwemhirizhonga uye kutamiswa uye kuti zvakanyanya kuenderera mberi.
Maiwe, hapana chimwe cheizvi chakanangana neSyria. Zvirokwazvo, nyika zhinji dzeArab dzakatarisana nemaitiro akafanana ePalestine nekuda kwehondo nekudzvanyirira uye zvechokwadi, muchidimbu, nekuda kwehudzvanyiriri hwavo hwemauto.
Vazhinji vanoshamisika, sei kuti vatungamiriri vavo vamene vangave vakadeura ropa uye vasina hanya nokutambura kwavo sevaIsraeri?
Asi Palestinization zvakare mhedzisiro yehondo dzeUS nekugara, kunyanya pasi paGeorge W Bush, ane dzidziso nemafungiro eIsrael - anoidaidza kuti Israelsation - yakave nemhedzisiro inotyisa kumaArabu nemaAmericans zvakafanana.
Mhedzisiro ndeyePalestinization yemaArabu, iyo inoturikira muchiArab kuita kushungurudzwa, kunyadziswa uye kugara.
Inoshandurawo mukupikisa, kutsunga uye kurwira kururamisira.
Asi izvozvo hazvirevi kuti kune rukudzo murufu, mufaro muhondo, kana kuti kudada nokuva mupoteri. Zvirokwazvo kwete muAfghanistan, uko yave nzira yehupenyu.
Afghanisation
Kupindira kune dzimwe nyika kwakave nemigumisiro inotyisa kune maAfghans, pamwe chete nevanotambudza, uye zvichida vamwe vose.
Kupindira kweRussia neUS kwakashandura Afghanistan kuita nyika yakakundikana uye kuita mutengesi anotungamira kunze kwenyika uye mutengesi wemhirizhonga yechitendero, kusanganisira al-Qaeda.
Kupindira kweUS muIraq muna 2003 kwakadyara mhodzi dzeAfghanisation munyika yeArab. Uye kwemakore gumi apfuura, Iraq yakunda Afghanistan semugadziri mukuru wekusagadzikana uye mhirizhonga. Pinda muIslamic State yeIraq uye Levant (ISIL).
Haisi chete iyo ISIL yakaratidza kuve neropa, kushinga uye kufa kupfuura al-Qaeda kana maTaliban, boka redunhu / repasirese rakaramba kufanotaura uye kufanotaura.
Kuchinja kwechiitiko cheISIL muIraq, Syria, Libya, Yemen nedzimwe nyika hakusi kuratidza kuderera kana kudzoka. Chokwadi, yanga ichikura senge hydra mudunhu rese kunyangwe neUS inotungamirwa nemarudzi akawanda kuedza "kudzikisira, kukunda uye kuiparadza".
Uye ISIL haisi yega. Iyo Afghanisation yenzvimbo dzakasiyana dzepasirese yeArab iri kuburitsa ane chisimba maSalafi kana mapoka eJihadi zvisina kumbobvira zvaitika.
Asi sevanhu vekuAmerica nevekuEurope pamberi pavo, maRussia anoita seakarongerwa kudzokorora kukanganisa kwavo zvakare uye zvakare uye zvakare. Saka hezvino, neRussia yaVladimir Putin ichiita sekunge inogona kukunda zvakare hondo yeAfghan nekuirwisa muSyria.
Asi sekupindira kweUS muIraq, kupindira kweRussia muLevant, pamwe nekupindira kweIran, kuchawedzerawo kuparara kweEast pamwe nemitsara yemasekete.
Balkanization
Nyika dzinoverengeka dzechiArab, kufanana neyaichimbova Yugoslavia, dziri kubuda mumeso edu, dzinogara paterevhizheni. Kucheneswa kwemadzinza kwatove kuenderera mberi, uye miganhu yenyika yave kusashanda sezvayakatoita muIraq neSyria.
Hondo dzevagari vemuLibya neYemen dzinogonawo kukonzera kuparara kwenyika idzi, zvisinei nekuyedza kuchengetedza nyika.
Kukanganisa kutsva kwemasekete nekukamukana mukati menyika idzi, pamwe nedunhu rese, kuri kuramba kuchidzika sezvo kutenderera kwehondo nekunetsana kusingaratidzi chiratidzo chekudzokera shure.
Iwo mapatya maitiro ekushungurudzwa (Palestinization) uye radicalization (Afghanisation) ari kukurudzira manzwiro uye ruvengo kupfuura mitsetse yenyika.
Ndiwo masimba epasi rose - US, Russia, Europe - nemamwe masimba ematunhu akakonzera njodzi dzePalestine neAfghan, avo vari kutamba neArab East.
Kana izvi zvikaramba zvakadaro, izvo zvisingagoneke zvinozogoneka sezvo East yese inotyora zvisingaverengeke geopolitical mhedzisiro kuvanhu vayo nenyika.
Mumwe anogona kungotarisira kuti kunyangwe vakatadza kudzidza kubva mukukanganisa kwavo, vanogona kukwanisa kuvhura maziso avo nepfungwa nekudzidza kubva mukutadza kwevavengi vavo.
Marwan Bishara ndiye muongorori mukuru wezvematongerwo enyika kuAl Jazeera.
ZNetwork inopihwa mari chete kuburikidza nerupo rwevaverengi vayo.
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