Federal Reserve payakacheka mitengo yemubereko svondo rapfuura, vatauri vaibvunza kuti sei. Zvinoenderana nedata repamutemo, hupfumi hwaive huchikwira, hurovha hwaive pasi pe4% uye kukura kwechigadzirwa chepamba kwaive pamusoro pe3%. Kana chero chinhu, nekufunga kweFed pachayo, yaifanira kunge iri kukwidza mitengo.
Nyanzvi dzemusika dzakatsanangura kuti tiri muhondo yekutengeserana uye hondo yemari. Mamwe mabhanga epakati akanga achicheka mitengo yavo, uye Fed yaifanira kutevedzera kuitira kudzivirira dhora kuti rive rakanyanya kukosha kune dzimwe mari. Dzidziso ndeyokuti dhora rakachipa richaita kuti zvigadzirwa zveAmerica zvinyanye kukwezva mumisika yekunze, zvichibatsira kugadzira kwedu uye zvigadziko zvebasa.
Mukupera kwesvondo, Mutungamiri Trump vakatevera kuderedzwa kwechiyero kutyisidzira kumanikidza, musi waSept. 1, mutero mutsva we10% pamadhora mazana matatu emadhora ezvigadzirwa zveChinese. China akadaira nekumisa kupinzwa kunze kwezvinhu zvekurima zveUS nemakambani ehurumende uye kusiya kukosha kweyuan kudonha. NeMuvhuro, iyo Dow Jones Industrial Average yakadonha inoda kusvika 770 mapoinzi, zuva rayo rakaipisisa muna 2019. Hondo yakanga iripo.
Chinonyanya kuderedzwa kana mari yadzikiswa, anodaro Hudson, mutengo wevashandi venyika nemamiriro ekushanda evashandi vayo. Chikonzero chinoita kuti vashandi vekuAmerica vatadze kukwikwidzana nevashandi vekune dzimwe nyika hachisi chekuti dhora rawandisa. Imhaka yemitengo yakakwira yedzimba, dzidzo, mabasa ekurapa uye zvekufambisa. Munyika dzinokwikwidzana, mari idzi dzinowanzo tsigirwa nehurumende.
Mukwikwidzi mukuru weAmerica muhondo yekutengeserana zviri pachena kuti China, iyo inopa rubatsiro kwete chete mutengo wevashandi asi mutengo wemabhizinesi ayo. Hurumende ine zvikamu makumi masere kubva muzana zvemabhanga, ayo anotora zvikwereti zvine mutsindo kumabhizimusi emudzimba, zvikuru makambani ehurumende. Kana mabhizinesi asingakwanisi kubhadhara zvikwereti, mabhangi kana mabhizinesi haawanzo kubhuroka, sezvo zvichireva kurasikirwa nemabasa nemafekitari. Zvikwereti zvisingaite zvinongotakurwa pamabhuku kana kunyorwa. Hapana vakweretesi vega vanokuvara, sezvo mukweretesi ari hurumende uye zvikwereti zvakagadzirwa pamabhuku emabhangi pakutanga (zvichitevera standard banking tsika pasi rose). Sezvakacherechedzwa naJeff Spross muchinyorwa chaMay 2018 Reuters chakanzi โMabhangi eChinese Akakura. Zvakanyanya Kukura?":
[B]nekuti hurumende yeChinese ndiyo ine mabhanga mazhinji, uye inodhinda mari, inokwanisa kuchengetedza mabhanga iwayo ari mapenyu nekukweretesa zvachose. โฆ
Zvinogona kuita sezvisinganzwisisike kutaura kuti mabhangi eChina haazombopunzika, zvisinei nekuti nzvimbo dzavo dzekukweretesa hadzina musoro sei. Asi hurongwa hwekubhanga hungori nezvekufamba kwemari.
Spross akataura aimbova CEO webhanga, Richard Vague, sachigaro weThe Governor's Woods Foundation, uyo akatsanangura kuti, โChina yakazvipira kukura zvakanyanya. Uye kukura, zviri nyore, kunoenderana nekuwana mari. โ Beijing "ichauya nekugadzirisa purofiti, kugadzirisa capital, kugadzirisa chikwereti chakashata, chebhanga rehurumende ... nechero nzira dzatisingaone zvichiitika muUnited States."
Kusagadzikana kwezvematongerwo enyika nevashandi idambudziko guru muChina. Spross vakanyora kuti hurumende inoita kuti munhu wese afare nekuchengetedza hupfumi hwakakwirira uye kuparadzira mari kuvagari. Zvikamu zviviri muzvitatu zvechikwereti cheChinese chinokweretwa chete nemakambani, ayo ariwo ehurumende. Kukweretesa kwemakambani nokudaro inzira yepasi rose yemutemo weindasitiri unopihwa mari nehurumendeโmutemo unopihwa mari kwete nemitero asi kuburikidza neropafadzo yakasarudzika yemabhanga kugadzira mari pamabhuku avo.
China inofunga kuti iyi iri nani yekubhengi modhi pane yakazvimiririra yekuMadokero system yakatarisana nepurofiti yenguva pfupi yevanogovana vakazvimirira. Asi vagadziri vemitemo veUS vanoona rubatsiro rweChina kumabhizinesi ayo nevashandi se "maitiro ekutengeserana asina kunaka." Vanoda kuti China irege rubatsiro rwehurumende uye mamwe marongero ekudzivirira kuitira kuti ikwidze nhandare. Asi Beijing inopokana kuti shanduko dzinodiwa dzinosvika "kuchinja kwehupfumi." Sekutaura kunoita Hudson: โUku ndiko kurwa kwakaitwa Trump neChina. Anoda kuiudza kuti ngairege mabhanga ashande neChina uye ave nemusika wakasununguka. Anoti China yakapfuma mumakore makumi mashanu apfuura nenzira dzisina kunaka, nerubatsiro rwehurumende uye makambani ehurumende. Kutaura zvazviri, anoda kuti maChinese ave atyisidzirwa uye asina kuchengeteka sevashandi vekuAmerica. Vanofanira kubvisa zvifambiso zvavo zvevoruzhinji. Vanofanira kubvisa rubatsiro rwavo. Vanofanira kurega makambani avo mazhinji achiparara kuitira kuti vekuAmerica vatenge. Vanofanirwa kuve nemhando imwe chete yemusika wemahara wakanganisa hupfumi hweUS. [Simbiso yakawedzerwa.]โ
Kurt Campbell naJake Sullivan, kunyora muna Aug. 1 in Foreign Affairs (jenari reCouncil on Foreign Relations), inoidana "makwikwi ari kubuda emamodeli."
Hondo Yemashoko Ehupfumi
Kuti tinzwisise zviri kuitika pano, zvinobatsira kuongorora imwe nhoroondo. The free market model hollowed out Nzvimbo yekugadzira yeAmerica kutanga munguva ye Thatcher/Reagan yemakore ekuma1970 nema80s, apo neoliberal economic policy vakabata. Zvichakadaro, hupfumi hweAsia huri kusimukira, hunotungamirwa neJapan, hwakanga huchiputika pachiitiko nemhando itsva yehupfumi inonzi "inotungamirwa nehurumende capitalism.โ Nyika yakaronga zvekutanga uye yakaraira basa, ichibva yahaya mabhizinesi akazvimirira kuti aite. Muenzaniso wakakunda kukanganisa kwehurongwa hwemakomunisiti, izvo zvakaisa muridzi nekutonga mumaoko ehurumende.
Hurongwa hwemusika hweJapan hunotungamirwa nenyika hwaive hunoshanda uye huchinyatsoshanda zvekuti hwaionekwa sekutyisidzira kuriko kune neoliberal modhi yechikwereti-based money uye "misika yemahara" inosimudzirwa neInternational Monetary Fund (IMF). Maererano nemunyori William Engdahl mu "Zana Rehondo,โ pakupera kwema1980, Japan yakanga ichirangarirwa kuva simba guru rezvemari namabhangi munyika. Yayo inotungamirwa nenyika modhi yairatidza kuve yakabudirira zvakanyanya muSouth Korea uye humwe hupfumi hwe "Asian Tiger". Apo Soviet Union yakaparara pakupera kweCold War, Japan yakaronga muenzaniso wayo kune dzaimbove nyika dzemakomunisiti, uye vazhinji vakatanga kutarisa kwairi uye kumuenzaniso weSouth Korea senzira dzinogoneka kune yeUS misika yemahara. Utungamiriri hwehurumende hunotungamirirwa neHurumende hwakapa hutano hwevanhu vose pasina kuparadza kukurudzirwa kwecapitalist. Engdahl akanyora kuti:
Hupfumi hweTiger hwaive hunyadzo huru kune IMF yemahara-musika modhi. Kubudirira kwavo mukubatanidza bhizinesi rakazvimiririra nebasa rakasimba rehupfumi hwenyika kwaive kutyisidzira chirongwa cheIMF chemahara. Chero bedzi maTiger airatidzika kubudirira nemuenzaniso wakavakirwa padanho rakasimba renyika, dzaimbove nyika dzemakomunisti nevamwe vaigona kupokana kuti vatore kosi yeIMF yakanyanyisa. Kumabvazuva kweAsia panguva ye1980s, kukura kwehupfumi kwe7-8 muzana pagore, kukwira kwekuchengetedzwa kwevanhu, dzidzo yepasi rose uye kubudirira kwevashandi kwepamusoro zvose zvakatsigirwa nehutungamiri hwehurumende uye kuronga, kunyange muhupfumi hwemusika - rudzi rweAsia rune tsitsi. paternalism.
Sezvo US yakanga yapinda muCold War kuti iparadze muenzaniso wemakomunisti weSoviet, saka zvido zvezvemari zvekuMadokero zvakatanga kuparadza kutyisidzira uku kweAsia. Zvakakanganisika apo vezveupfumi vekuMadokero neoliberal vakanyengetedza Japan neAsia Tigers kuti vatore hurongwa hwemusika wemahara uye kuvhura hupfumi hwavo nemakambani kune vekunze vanoisa mari. Vafungidziri vekuMadokero vakabva vatora pasi nyika dzisina njodzi imwe neimwe mu "dambudziko reAsia" ra1997-8. China chete yakasiiwa sekutyisidzira kwehupfumi kune yeWestern neoliberal modhi, uye ndiyo iyi tyisidziro iripo ndiyo inovavarirwa nehondo dzekutengeserana nemari nhasi.
Kana usingakwanise kuvarovaโฆ
Muchinyorwa chavo cheAugust 1 Foreign Affairs chakanzi "Makwikwi asina Catastrophe," Campbell naSullivan vanonyora kuti muedzo ndeyekuenzanisa idzi hondo dzekutengeserana kwehupfumi neCold War neRussia; asi fananidzo haina kukodzera:
China nhasi mukwikwidzi wevezera akanyanya kutyisa mune zvehupfumi, akanyanya kuomarara mune zvezvematongerwo enyika, uye anochinja-chinja mafungiro kupfuura zvaimboita Soviet Union. Uye kusiyana neSoviet Union, China yakanyatsobatanidzwa munyika uye yakabatana nehupfumi hweUS.
Kusiyana neSoviet communist system, iyo Chinese system haigone kutarisirwa "kupunzika pasi pehuremu hwayo." IUS haigone kutarisira, uye haifanire kutoda, kuparadza China, Campbell naSullivan vanodaro. Asi, isu tinofanirwa kuvavarira mamiriro e "kugarisana pamashoko anoenderana nezvido nehunhu hweUS."
Zvazvinoreva ndezvekuti China, yakanyanya kusimba kuti ibviswe mumutambo sezvaive zvakaita Soviet Union, inoda kumanikidzwa kana kusungwa kuti itore iyo neoliberal modhi uye kusiya rutsigiro rwenyika rwemaindasitiri ayo uye varidzi vemabhangi ayo. Asi iyo yeChinese sisitimu, nepo sezviri pachena isina kukwana, ine inonakidza rekodhi rekodha yekuchengetedza-kureba kwekukura nekusimudzira. Ipo nzvimbo yekugadzira yeUS yanga ichivharirwa pasi peiyo yemahara-musika modhi, China yaive yakarongeka ichivaka hwaro hwayo hwekugadzira nekudyara zvakanyanya muzvivakwa uye matekinoroji ari kusimukira, uye yaive ichiita izvi nechikwereti chakagadzirwa nemabhanga ayo ehurumende. Pane kuedza kuparadza hurongwa hwehupfumi hweChina, zvingave "zvakanakira zvido nehunhu hweUS" kuti isu titore maitiro ayo anoshanda eindasitiri nemabhanga.
Hatigoni kukunda hondo yemari kuburikidza nekushandiswa kwekukwikwidza kwemari devaluations iyo inotanga "nhangemutange kusvika pasi," uye hatigoni kukunda hondo yekutengeserana nekuisa zvipingamupinyi zvekutengeserana zvinongotibvisa kubva kune zvikomborero zvekutengeserana kwekubatana. Zvinonyanya kufarirwa nezvido zvedu nezvatinokoshesa pane kurwa nevatinotengeserana navo kungave kubatana mukugovana mhinduro, zvinosanganisira kubhengi nezvikwereti. MaChina aratidza kushanda kwehurongwa hwavo hwekubhanga hweveruzhinji mukutsigira maindasitiri avo nevashandi vavo. Panzvimbo pekuzviona sekutyisidzira kuripo, tinogona kuvatenda nekuyedza-kutyaira modhi uye kutora spin mairi isu pachedu.
ZNetwork inopihwa mari chete kuburikidza nerupo rwevaverengi vayo.
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