Nyaya yekuti kutongwa kwaHosni Mubarak kuchiri kuitika zvachose - pachezvayo chiitiko chinoshamisa - inotsvetwa nevatsoropodzi vanokasira kuratidza kukanganisa mukutongwa uko kwaisazozadzisa tarisiro dzekuMadokero [EPA]Kutongwa kwevakadzingwa. Mutungamiri weEgypt, Hosni Mubarak, ave chiratidzo cheArab Spring: mudzvanyiriri anotsigirwa neUS, akangoerekana awisirwa pasi nekuunganidzwa kwakakurumbira uye akaiswa kujeri mukeji yevari kupomerwa yedare reCairo. Ndiwo mufananidzo vaEgipita vazhinji, maArabu mazhinji, vanhu vazhinji pasi rese havana kumbofunga kuti tichaona.
Uye zvino huya hurukuro dzekutsiura. Kutongwa kwacho hakusi pamutemo, kunogona kusasangana nezvinodiwa pasi rose zvekodzero dzevanhu. "Keji yeMubarak haina mahara zvachose ... Zvinoonekwa zvinoratidza kutongwa kwekuratidzira, nemutongo watotemwa - izvo, chokwadi, chinhu chekupedzisira chinodiwa neEgypt", anonyora munyori wepepanhau reDenver Post.
Jackson Diehl, mutevedzeri wemupepeti wepeji yeWashington Post anonyora zvichemo zvakawanda: "kuitwa kwekutongwa kwacho kunowedzera kukurumidza uye kuverengera mune zvematongerwo enyika ... mwedzi miviri mushure mekunge apomerwa mhosva system inozivikanwa nekuita zvematongerwo enyika." Diehl chete akasiiwa kunze kwaive kunetseka kuti, sekutsanangura kwakaita Washington DC mukati-the-beltway National Journal, kutongwa "kuchaita kuti vatongi vakaita seMutungamiriri weSyria, Bashar al-Assad naMuammar Qaddafi weLibya, vanamatire kusimba zvakanyanya uye zvine hukasha. zvisina tsitsi."
Mucherechedzo wekuita kwakakodzera
Muchokwadi, zvizhinji zvekunetsekana uye kupomerwa ichokwadi chisingarambiki. Muedzo haugone kugadzirira zvakakwana munguva pfupi; kutendeseka kwemutemo weEgypt kunoramba kuchipokana nekuti vatongi, magweta nevamwe vese vakagadzwa nehutongi hwaMubarak; tsika dzepasi rose dzekodzero dzevanhu dzinenge dzisina kuzadzikiswa. Uye zvinogoneka kuti kuona mutungamiri wenyika asina kungopidigurwa nesimba remukurumbira asi achirembera kuseri kwemabhawa pane kugara muumbozha hwakachengetedzwa, zvinogona kuita kuti zviome kutaurirana nezvekutamiswa kwesimba kubva kuna Mambo Hamad bin al-Khalifa muBahrain. kana vamwe vehama dzake madzimambo nevadzvanyiriri.
Asi nepo kutsoropodza kuri kwechokwadi, vatsoropodzi vose vanongori vasina kururama. Mhedzisiro yemuyedzo uyu haizove mhedzisiro yayo, kana maitiro ayo, asi inyaya yekuti zviri kuitika zvachose. Kupfuura chero chinhu chipi zvacho, chiratidzo chaMubarak pakutongwa chinotungamira pfungwa yekuti, chero chimwe chingazoitika, Egypt haife yakadzokera kune zvayaive. Kuisa Mubarak kutongwa muEgypt kwakaenzana nezvakataurwa naDr Zhivago (kana zvisiri zvakananga kubva kuPasternak, kunyanya muDavid Lean's cheesy film version), pamusoro pekuti sei vakauraya mambo muRussia: "ndiko kuratidza kuti hakuna kudzokera shure."
Zviri pachena kuti hakusi kuti mitemo yekodzero dzevanhu haina kukosha. Kunyangwe hunyengeri hunokatyamadza hwevakuru veUS uye vatauri vakangoerekana vanetsekana nekushaikwa kwemitemo yekodzero dzevanhu muEgypt nyowani, mushure memakumi emakore ekunyarara apo US yakashongedzerwa nekubhadhara mari yemidziyo yaMubarak yekusungwa zvisina tsarukano, kurwadziswa uye kuurayiwa kwematare ekare. Egypt uko kodzero dzevanhu dzisina kumbovapo, zviyero izvozvo zvine basa. Asi nyaya dzekodzero dzevanhu dzatiri kunzwa nezvadzo nhasi dzakadzika midzi mugwara remaitiro. Hurongwa uhu hwakakosha, asi pachezvahwo hahuna kukwana.
Sezvakataurwa nenyanzvi yezvemitemo yepasi rose uye mutauriri wekodzero dzevanhu weUnited Nations kuPalestine Richard Falk anoti: โTinofanirwa kubvunza kuti nzira yekutonga kweruramisiro iriko here kana kuti ingava chikamu chakakosha cheruramisiro mumamiriro ezvinhu echimurenga kana epashure peshanduko, uko kumwe kuripo. fungidziro dzinogona kunge dzakafanana kana kukosha zvakanyanya. Icho chikamu chefungidziro yakasununguka kutarisa nezvehutongi hwejekerere, kazhinji nekurasikirwa kwehutongi hwejekerere. uye kudzvinyirirwa, izvo zvinoita kuti mhedzisiro yacho ive mhedziso yakafanotaurwa. "
Kutongwa kwaHosni Mubarak, vanakomana vake, uye vashoma vevakuru vakuru vake havazozadzise mitemo yekodzero dzevanhu iyo vanorwira kodzero dzevanhu veEgypt pachavo vari kuramba vachirwira. Dare redzimhosva rakatenderwa nemauto mamwechete aidzorwa naMubarak kwenguva yakareba, aine vatongi nevachuchisi vese vakagadzwa nehutongi hwaMubarak, vachitariswa nemauto aitungamirwa naMubarak (kunyanya mauto anochengetedza hukama hwayo hwepedyo uye kuvimba neUS uye masangano emauto eIsrael), anenge asingazopi muenzaniso kune yakazvimirira, kodzero dzevanhu-yakavakirwa mutongi akakodzera vanhu veTahrir Square. Kurwa uku kunofanirwa kuenderera mberi, kana paine tariro yekushandura post-Mubarak Egypt kuita chimwe chinhu chakasiyana neudzvanyiriri hwemhuri hwaive kwemakore akawanda kudaro. Asi kuisa kuzvipira kwakadzama kukodzero dzevanhu hakugone kuwanikwa mukutongwa uku - asi chokwadi ichocho hachifanire kukanganisa kukoshesa kwacho.
Saizvozvowo, kutya kuti kutongwa kwaMubarak kuchakanganisa nhamburiko dzekusvika panhaurirano dzekuti vamwe vadzvanyiriri mudunhu vasiye masimba avo hazvifanirwe kushandiswa sechikonzero chekunonoka kana kusiya kutongwa uku. Chokwadi kuona kwaMubarak kujeri, akavharirwa pachiteshi chevanopomerwa sevasungwa vasina kuverengerwa vehupfumi nezvematongerwo enyika vehurumende yake kunofanira kutyisa nekugumbura vamwe vake vedunhu nepasi rose. Zvingave kuti Hamad, Gaddafi, Assad, nevamwe mune ramangwana vachanongedza kutongwa uku sechimwe chikonzero chekusataurirana nekumukirana kweveruzhinji vachida kuti vasiye masimba. Kupokana pakati perunyararo nekururamisira, nhaurirano nekuzvidavirira, dzimwe nguva zvinogona kuita sezvisingagadziriswe.
Kuva chikamu chemhinduro
Asi mhinduro haigoni kuva kurega kuedza kuita kuti vadzvinyiriri vazvidavirire nokuda kwemhosva dzavo. Asi, zvinofanirwa kureva kuwedzera kwekuzvidavirira kubva kumunhu mumwechete kuenda kumatunhu makuru emauto nevakuru vezvematongerwo enyika vanoita kuti hudzvinyiriri hushande. Fungidzira kuti dai gurukota rega rega rekudzivirirwa nekuchengetedzwa kwemukati, mukuru wemauto, uye mukuru wemauto ane mutoro wekuita kudzvanywa kwechisimba kwechimurenga chakakurumbira chinorwisa udzvanyiriri, aiziva kuti akatarisana nechokwadi chekuzvidavirira nekuda kwezviito zvake mune tsotsi renyika kana repasi rose. dare. Mumamiriro ezvinhu akadaro, vanogona kusiya mudzvanyiriri uye kusiya basa kare kare, vangave vari vega kana vazhinji, nguva refu kudzvanyirirwa kwemhirizhonga kusati kwasvika kusvika pakuuraya vanhu vasina zvombo kana kupinda muhondo yevagari.
Parizvino, mwedzi mitanhatu mushure memazuva makuru eTahrir Square uye mwedzi mitanhatu mushure mekudzingwa kunoshamisa kwaMubarak pachigaro, ramangwana reEgypt harina kujeka. Mauto - mauto ekare aMubarak, asina kushanduka - anoramba ane simba zvakanyanya. Hurumende yenguva pfupi yakagadzwa nemauto inoramba yakatsemuka pakati pekuchengetedza kutendeseka kwakakurumbira nekupindura kune zvishuwo zvisati zvazadzikiswa zvevanhu vachiri kuunganidzwa, uye kuramba vari pachigaro vachibvuma zvinorairwa nevatariri vavo vemauto.
Hapana zvivimbiso. Kunze kwekuti vanhu veEgypt, vanhu veTahrir Square, vasisina kutya hurumende nemauto. Vachiri kuunganidzwa, vachiri kushanda kuti vabate zvimwe zvikamu zvehudzvanyiriri hwakakundwa kuti vazvidavirire. Vanhu vazhinji vanoramba vasina kugadzikana zvinonzwisisika nezveramangwana reEgypt. Kurwisana kwekuchinja simba - simba chairo, kwete simba rekufananidzira - kure nemauto uye kuvanhu veTahrir Square, inoenderera mberi. Ndizvo chaizvo mumamiriro ezvinhu aya kuti kukosha kwekutongwa kwaHosni Mubarak kunorodza: โโihwo uchapupu hwokuti, chero chii chinotevera, chero zvimiro zveropafadzo uye kudzvinyirira vaEgipita vanoramba vachitarisana nazvo, hazvizove zvakafanana nekare. Kutongwa kwaMubarak kunoratidza kuti hapana kudzokera kumashure.
Phyllis Bennis iShamwari yeInstitute for Policy Studies uye yeTransnational Institute muAmsterdam. Mabhuku ake anosanganisira Challenging Empire: Sei Vanhu, Hurumende uye UN Vanoshora Simba reUS.
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