Kwakabva: Mumazuva Ano
Izvo zvakafanana hazvibviri kufuratira. Vese vari vaviri vari kuchembera maBoomers vane nguva refu vanotangazve mukurwira kururamisira munharaunda. Vese vari vaviri vakaita mushandirapamwe pamapuratifomu ekuruboshwe populism anotora vapfumi nevane simba. Uye vese vakabatsira kumutsa mafambiro emagariro anotungamirwa nevaratidziri makore makumi mashanu mudiki wavo. Ehe, Jeremy Corbyn naBernie Sanders vanogovana zvakawanda zvakafanana.
Mitemo yevashandi ndiyo yakanga iri kukwezvwa kwavo kwakasimba—kunyange, kana kuti kunyanya, yavo yesocialist.
Saka, isu tichiongorora ungwandangwanda hwekukundwa kweBato reLabour, uko kwakaona kudonha kukuru kweConservative kubva kuna Margaret Thatcher, hazvina kunaka kubvunza kuti: Chii chakashata? Chii icho iyo US Kuruboshwe-uye mushandirapamwe weSanders zvakanyanya-kudzidzei kubva mukurasikirwa kwaCorbyn? Uye, sezvo kupisa kunotora mafashamo kubva kuAmerican pundits nekunzwisisa kushoma kweBritish system yezvematongerwo enyika, zvakakosha zvakaenzana kubvunza: Chii chatisingafaniri kudzidza kubva mukukundwa uku, zvakare?
Pane nzvimbo nhatu dzakakosha uko kudzidza kuchave kwakakosha, uye kunokwikwidza:
Kudzivisa kuuraya munhu
Ndakaziva kubva panguva yangu yekutsvagira Labor muUK pamwe nekuverenga sarudzo: Jeremy Corbyn aive mutungamiri anopikisa asingafarirwe munhoroondo yeBritish.
Pundits inonongedzera kune hunhu hwemunhu kuti atsanangure kusadiwa kwake, kubva paunhu hwake (hippie! isina charisma!) kune marongero ake (iye Commie!) kune vaanoshamwaridzana navo vezvematongerwo enyika (anoshamwaridzana nemagandanga!) kusvika kunheyo yevatsigiri vake ( vanopesana nevaSemite, vazhinji vavo).
Asi taura nevazhinji vevatsigiri veLabour vapinda musarudzo idzi, uye vachakuudza kuti ruvengo rwaCorbyn rwakanga rwakanyanya, rwakanyanya kutaurwa, zvakanyanya. mudenga kupfuura izvi. Kudai waizobvunza muvhoti akapiwa chikonzero nei vakanga vachivenga Jeremy Corbyn—uye ndakava nomukana wokubvunza vavhoti vakawanda vakadaro—vaigona kuti: “Ndinongoita.”
Mari yesarudzo yekusafarirwa kwakadaro yakanga yakanyanyisa. Maererano ne imwe sarudzo mushure mesarudzo, 43% yevakabvunzwa vakavhotera Labour nekuda kwehutungamiriri hwebato, zvichienzaniswa ne17% chete pachimiro chayo paBrexit uye 12% yemitemo yayo yehupfumi.
Chii chaigona kuita kuti pave nokuzvidzwa kwakadaro? Mhinduro pfupi: mushandirapamwe wakasimba wekupondwa kwemunhu pedyo nechero UK tabloid, bepanhau remazuva ese uye neimwe nzira inoremekedzwa kushambadza Jeremy Corbyn.
Nyaya yekurwisa maJuda inodzidzisa. Vazhinji vavhoti veBritish ikozvino vanotenda kuti Corbyn anopikisa Semite, asi vashoma vanogona kunongedzera kumuenzaniso wekurwisa kwake Semitism. Saka nei vachizvitenda? Nekuti kuda kwaitaurwa, kasingaperi, mumapepa. Dai Corbyn anga asiri anti-Semitic, vavhoti vaive chokwadi kubvunza, nei nyaya dzakawanda kudaro dzaizonyorwa nezvazvo mwedzi yakawanda kudaro? Uprofita hwacho hwakanga huchizadzika.
Vatsigiri vaBernie Sanders vanogunun'una nezvekusavapo kwake kubva pakushuma. CNN neMSNBC vane mhosva yekukanda Joe Biden, Pete Buttigieg uye kunyange Elizabeth Warren pane yavo chyron, asi voregeredza Sanders, kunyangwe kuvhota kwake kunogara pamusoro penzvimbo yeDemocratic.
Asi vatsigiri veSanders vanoita sevasina kugadzirira chikamu chinotevera chechiitiko ichi, paanodzokera kumashure asi akananga mumharadzano. Zvakambotaurwa asi mabheya achidzokorora: Isu takangoona chidimbu chenyaya dzichashandiswa nevatori venhau kudzikisa Bernie Sanders.
Iyo US Kuruboshwe inoda kugadzirira izvi, nekushingaira uye nekugadzira. Musasa weCorbyn wakakurumidza kusvika kune imba yekurara: "Kurangana kunoitwa nevezvenhau vane mabhiriyoni. Izvozvo zvingava zvaiva zvechokwadi. Asi iyo US Kuruboshwe ichada yakawedzera hunyanzvi zano rekurwisa nyaya dzinoparadza uye nekupa imwe chiono chehunhu hunofambira mberi hwaSanders.
Chiedza chezuva zvirokwazvo ndicho mushonga wekuuraya utachiona wakanakisa — kungodenha kwakazara kune gakava riri kuramba richikura rinogona kuriuraya. Uye dambudziko iri rinogona kuda kuti vanofambira mberi vaende kune ese aripo midhiya enhau, kusanganisira Fox News, vozviita voga.
Kuchengetedza mubatanidzwa
Mubatanidzwa wesarudzo weLabour Party wakafanana zvinoshamisa neuyo weDemocratic Party, mune zvese zviri zviviri kuumbwa kwayo uye negwara rekufamba: nharaunda dzevashandi dzine mwero wakaderera wedzidzo uye, zvichiwedzera, vagari vemaguta vakapfuma vane dzidzo yepamusoro.
Ndiwo mubatanidzwa waparara musarudzo dzemusi weChina. The Tory landslide yaive a working class wave: Bato reConservative rakapaza nepakati penzvimbo dzekare dzeVashandi-vhoti dzevashandi, dzaimbozivikanwa se'Red Wall,' kuti dzihwine zvakawanda zvezvigaro zvitsva.
Boris Johnson-akadzidza Eton-akadzidza, ane sirivheri, anotarisisa-akabata Tory-akakwanisa sei kuwana budiriro yakadai achipokana neBato reLabour rakazvipira kuchinangwa chevashandi?
Mhinduro pfupi ndeye Brexit. Mubvunzo wekuve nhengo yeEuropean Union - kana zvakanyanya, wekuti hurumende yeBritain ingaenderere mberi nesarudzo yereferendamu yekubuda muEU - yakananga mumubatanidzwa weLabour.
Dai Bato reLabour rakambundira Brexit uye rikashanda semurandakadzi waro weparamende, maLiberal Democrats akange akamirira mumapapiro kuti atore makirasi epakati emaguta seawo.
Kana Bato reLabour rakatamira kune stymie Brexit, zvakadaro, vangangorasikirwa nematunhu avo ekusiya kuenda kuConservative Party yakavimbisa kuendesa Brexit yakatendeka. Bato reLabour rakazotora njodzi yekupedzisira, uye rakarasikirwa nekufungidzira semhedzisiro.
Nhau dzakanaka dzeDemocrats ndedzekuti United States haina Brexit. Kana iyo Democratic Party haityisidzirwe nemunhu anopikisa ari pedyo seLiberal Democrats.
Asi vanhu vekuAmerica vane nyaya yakada kufanana neBrexit: kusarudzwa kwaDonald Trump.
Mazhinji pundits anofananidza Boris Johnson naTrump, muchimiro senge mukugerwa bvudzi. Asi kuenzanisa kweBrexit-Trump ndiko kwakanyanya kukosha. Vhoti yaTrump, sevhoti yeBrexit, yaiitirwa kutumira kuvhunduka kuhurongwa uye chigunwe chepakati kune zvematongerwo enyika. Ndosaka vavhoti vaTrump, saBrexit, vasingawanzo tarisira mhedzisiro yesarudzo yavo yevhoti: vhoti ndiyo yaive yakakosha.
Kana vanofambira mberi vachitsvaga zvidzidzo, saka, kupomerwa kunogona kunge kuri nzvimbo yakanaka yekutanga: zano rezvematongerwo enyika iro rinogona kuzopedzisira rive riri myopic uye risina zvibereko.
Kufanana nekufonera a Vanhu Vote, kupomera Mutungamiri Trump kunogona kuonekwa sekusaremekedza vhoti yevapanduki yesarudzo dzemuna 2016, uye zvinogona kudzamisa pfungwa yekusagutsikana kwakakonzera Trump pakutanga. Kuti ichengetedze mubatanidzwa wayo pamwe chete, maDemocrat anozoda kutsvaga nzira yekudétente pakati pemakwikwi ayo ehuwandu. Impeachment chete haikona kunge iri mhinduro.
Spin, kwete socialism
Pakupedzisira, S-izwi.
Iyo commentariat iri kutozara nekutora nezve njodzi yemitemo iri kure-kuruboshwe. Socialism, nharo inoenda, yaive Corbyn's Achilles chitsitsinho. Uye zvinogona kunge zvakanyanya kuipa muUnited States, uko S-izwi rinoshandiswa nesimba rakakura repfungwa uye huremu hwenhoroondo.
Dambudziko nenharo iyi nderekuti zvakaipa. Mitemo yevashandi ndiyo yaive kukwezvwa kwavo kwakasimba-kunyangwe, kana kunyanya, yavo yesocialist: kusimudzira maindasitiri. A nguva ichangopfuura vakawana 84% yevakapindura vakatsigira kusimudzira indasitiri yemvura. Mune imwe, 77% yakatsigira zvakafanana kune simba uye 76% yenjanji.
Nyaya yaive yekuti, pakupedzisira, hazvina basa. Kuwanda kwemitemo yakaunzwa neBato reLabour mumanifesto yaro - zvinhu zvezviroto zvewonk inofambira mberi, uye kushanda nesimba kwevazhinji vakangwara uye vanogadzira vechidiki vanofunga nezvemitemo muUK - hazvina kuunza vanhu kuvhota vachivafarira.
Zvichitaurwa zviri nyore, socialism yakanga isiri yakanyanyisa kusimba pfungwa, asi yakanyanyisa kusimba zano resarudzo.
Kwete, kutenderera kuchiri kuita kunge kuri kutonga zvematongerwo enyika: tsvina, yakaora. Johnson akamhanyisa mushandirapamwe wehuwori, achiparadzira nhema, achinzvenga kuzvidavirira uye kubhenga pane mukana wekuti vanhu vaisave nehanya. Zvinoitika kuti 43.6% yavo havana-kusarudza kutsigira maTories zvakadaro.
Zvidzidzo kubva mukusarongeka kwesarudzo izvi zvinoshungurudza. Asi chimwe chakajeka: Zvirongwa uye marongero hazviunze hukuru-kunyangwe kana ruzivo rwazvo rwuchironga kuti unotonga sei. Kuhwina, zvino, maDemocrat anofambira mberi anofanira kubva papeji uye mumugwagwa, aine meseji iri nyore sekunge ine simba remanzwiro.
Liberal pundits ichamira chero chinhu kuti idzore Democratic Party kudzokera pakati - uye kurasikirwa kwaCorbyn kuchave zvombo zvine simba. Progressives haigoni kuitsvaira pasi pegumbo. Zvidzidzo zviripo, kana tichida kuzvidzidza. Asi munguva ino yekupererwa, avo vedu vari Kuruboshwe tinofanira kuramba tichizvidzokorora, kakawanda: Tinogona kukunda, uye tinofanira.
David Adler iPolicy Leader Fellow paChikoro cheTransnational Governance (EUI) uye Policy Coordinator weDemocracy muEurope Movement (DiEM25)
ZNetwork inopihwa mari chete kuburikidza nerupo rwevaverengi vayo.
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