Kodi tingaletse bwanji Islamic State?
Tangoganizani kuti mwagwedezeka, ndikuthamangira kumsonkhano wamaluso ndi mtsogoleri wanu wosankhidwa, ndikumuuza kuti: "Bwerani ndi ndondomeko yoti ndichitepo kanthu pa ISIS!" Kodi munganene chiyani?
Zomwe Sizinagwire Ntchito
Muyenera kuyamba ndi ndemanga yokopa ya zomwe sizinagwire ntchito pazaka 14-kuphatikizanso. Zochita zaku America polimbana ndi uchigawenga - dziko la Islamic State lomwe ndi laposachedwa kwambiri - zakwera modabwitsa, komabe zidakali zokopa kwambiri kwa gulu lathu lomwe tikufuna. (Bernie Sanders akhoza kukhala yekhayo, ngakhale iye zogwiriziza kupanga mgwirizano wina kuti agonjetse ISIS.)
Nchifukwa chiyani zosankha zomwe zalephera zimakhala zokongola kwambiri? Mwa zina, chifukwa mabomba ndi drones ndi anakhulupirira ndi anthu ambiri aku America kukhala maopaleshoni omwe amapha anthu oyipa ambiri, osalakwa ambiri, ndipo palibe aku America konse. Monga Washington amaganizira nthawi zonse, mphamvu ya mpweya ikangosewera, wina zina nsapato pamapeto pake zidzafika pansi (asilikali aku US atapereka maphunziro oyenerera ndi zida). Asitikali ochepa a Special Forces, nsapato-mtundu-on-the-ground, ingathandizenso kusintha mafunde. Ndi kaloti kapena ndodo, Washington idzasonkhanitsa ndikugwirana palimodzi tsopano-mukuona, tsopano-simuli "mgwirizano" wa "ogwirizana" kuti athandize ndikuthandizira ntchito yomwe ilipo. Ndipo kupambana kudzakhala kwathu, ngakhale mitundu ya fomulayi yatsika mobwerezabwereza ku Greater Middle East.
Kuyambira June 2014 kuyamba kwa Operation Inherent Resolve motsutsana ndi Islamic State, US ndi mabungwe ake amgwirizano adawuluka. 9,041 mitundu, 5,959 ku Iraq ndi 3,082 ku Syria. Zambiri zimayambitsidwa tsiku lililonse. A US akuti adapha pakati 10,000 ndi 25,000 Omenyera boma la Islamic State, kufalikira, komabe, ngati zolondola (zomwe n'zokayikitsa), makamaka anthu angapo oyipa pakuphulitsa bomba. Osachita bwino kwambiri pamaso pake, koma - monga momwe akuluakulu a Obama amalimbikitsira - iyi ndi "nkhondo yayitali." The CIA ziwerengero kuti Islamic State inali mwina 20,000 mpaka 30,000 omenyera nkhondo mu 2014. Kotero kwinakwake pakati pa gawo limodzi mwa magawo atatu a iwo ndi onse a iwo tsopano ayenera kutha. Mwachionekere osati, kuyambira posachedwapa ziwerengero zigawenga za Islamic State zikukhalabe m'gulu la 20,000 mpaka 30,000 pomwe 2016 ikuyamba.
Nanga bwanji kulanda mizinda? Chabwino, US ndi anzawo apita kale maulendo angapo pankhani yotenga mizinda. Kupatula apo, asitikali aku US adalanda Ramadi, likulu la Chigawo cha al-Anbar ku Iraq, ku 2003, kungowona gulu lankhondo laku Iraq lophunzitsidwa ndi America. kutaya kwa ISIS mu May 2015, ndi asilikali apadera a Iraq ophunzitsidwa ndi US omwe amathandizidwa ndi mphamvu ya ndege ya US tenganso (mu pafupifupi kuwonongedwa kwathunthu condition) pamene 2015 inatha. Monga mmodzi katswiri kunena kuti, chiwonongeko ndi mtengo womanganso zimapanga Ramadi "chipambano m'lingaliro loipitsitsa." Komabe mfuu yankhondo ku Washington ndi Baghdad ikadali "Kupita ku Mosul!"
"Zopambana" zofananirazi zakhala zikufunsidwa pafupipafupi pochotsa olamulira ankhanza padziko lapansi, kaya Saddam Hussein waku Iraq kapena Muammar Qaddafi waku Libya, kungowona zaka zakumbuyo zikutsatira. Zomwezo kwa akatswiri achigawenga, kuphatikiza Osama bin Laden ndi Anwar al-Awlaki, komanso maganizo ang'onoang'ono (Jihadi John ku Syria), kokha kukawona ena tumphuka ndipo zovala zauchigawenga zinafalikira. Chiwerengero cha ntchito zonsezi, 14-kuphatikiza zaka zake, zakhala zikulephera maiko ambiri komanso malo osalamuliridwa.
Ngati wophunzira wanu akusowa chidule cha zomwe sizinagwire ntchito, ndizosavuta: zonse.
Kodi Ugawenga Wachisilamu Ndi Woopsa Motani Kwa Achimereka?
Pazotsutsana zilizonse zomwe mungapange kwa pulezidenti yemwe mumamukonda pazomwe "sizinagwire," muyenera kuwonjezera kuwunika kwamphamvu kwauchigawenga ku United States kuti mufunse funso: Chifukwa chiyani tikuchita nawo nkhondoyi? pa sikelo iyi?
Zovuta monga kukopa nthawi zonse kuchitanso mantha Anthu aku America za zomwe tikukumana nazo, zakhala zikuchitika kokha 38 Anthu aku America omwe anaphedwa ku US ndi zigawenga zachisilamu, mimbulu yokha, kapena anthu omwe amadzinenera kuti akutsatira zigawenga zachisilamu, kapena ISIS, kapena al-Qaeda, kuyambira 9/11. Kambiranani za nambala ngati mukufuna. M'malo mwake, kuwirikiza kawiri kapena katatu ndipo kumangowonjezera kutsika kowopsa koma kosatsutsika mumtsuko. Kuti mupeze malingaliro, sankhani zomwe mumakonda: chiwerengero cha anthu aku America omwe aphedwa kuyambira 9/11 ndi mfuti (kuposa 400,000) kapena ndi madalaivala oledzera mu 2012 okha (kuposa 10,000).
Ndipo tipewereni mayendedwe otopa za momwe chitetezo pama eyapoti athu ndi kwina zatipulumutsira kwa omwe akudziwa kuukira kungati. Kuyesa kwaposachedwa ndi Ofesi ya Inspector General ya Department of Homeland yawonetsa izi 95% za zinthu zakunja, kuphatikiza zida ndi zophulika, zidadutsa pakuwunika pabwalo la ndege osazindikirika. Kodi zitha kukhala kuti kulibe anthu oyipa ochulukirapo omwe akufuna kutsitsa dziko lathu monga omwe akufuna kutsata kampeni angaganizire?
Kapena yang'anani pa National Security Agency's Fourth Amendment-kuphimba bulangeti. Kodi izi zidachita bwanji motsutsana ndi bomba la Boston kapena kuwukira ku San Bernardino? ndi palibe umboni idavumbulutsa chiwembu chenicheni chauchigawenga cholimbana ndi dziko lino.
Uchigawenga wachisilamu ku United States siwowopsa kwambiri kuposa mantha osamaliridwa bwino.
Mudziwitseni Wokondedwa Wanu ku Dziko Lenileni
Muyenera kukhala ndi chidwi cha wosankhidwa wanu pofika pano. Nthawi yomukumbutsa kuti nkhondo ya Washington yolimbana ndi zigawenga yatumiza kale $ 1.6 zankhaninkhani, pansi kukhetsa, kumanzere masauzande ankhondo aku America ndi mazana masauzande, ngati sichoncho mamiliyoni, Asilamu akufa. M'njira tinataya ufulu wamtengo wapatali ku boma la chitetezo cha dziko lomwe likukulirakulirabe.
Chifukwa chake yambani kulangiza ofuna kusankha kuti kuyankha koyenera ku Islamic State kuyenera kukhala kolingana ndi chiwopsezo chenicheni. Kupatula apo, timakhala ndi madipatimenti ozimitsa moto nthawi zonse, koma samayenda mozungulira kupopera madzi m'nyumba 24/7 "pakusamala kwambiri."
Tiyenera Kuchita Chinachake
Izi ndi zomwe munganene kuti wofunsayo achite, chifukwa mukudziwa kuti adzafuna "kuchita zinazake."
Yambani ndi kunena kuti, monga gulu, tidziyang'anitsitsa tokha, atsogoleri athu, ndi ma TV athu, ndikusiya kuyatsa moto wa aliyense. Ndi nthawi, mwa zina, kuti muyime kuzunza ndikusala Asilamu athu, kungoyima ndi nsagwada zodekha pomwe ena mwa iwo amakhala okhwima, ndipo Washington ndiye amadzudzula Twitter. Monga purezidenti, muyenera kusiya zonsezi, ndikuletsa ena kuti asagule.
Ponena za Islamic State palokha, siingathe kukhala ndi moyo, osadandaula kumenyana, popanda ndalama. Chifukwa chake, ndi nthawi yoti mwamuna / mkazi apite, ndikutsatira magwero enieni andalama.
Malingana ngati US akuumirira pa kuwuluka kwa ndege (ndipo wosankhidwa wanu mwatsoka angafunikire kutero kuti aphimbe mbali yake yakumanja), atsogolereni kwambiri kuposa panopa potsutsana ndi chimodzi mwazinthu zazikulu za ISIS: mafuta a kunja. Onjezani magalimoto oyendetsa mafuta. Ombetsani zitsime m'malo olamulidwa ndi ISIS. Kupeza zolinga sizovuta. Anthu aku Russia anamasulidwa Zithunzi zowunikira zomwe amadzinenera kuti ndi magalimoto okwana 12,000 odzaza mafuta ozembetsa, osungidwa pafupi ndi malire a Turkey.
Koma kumbutsani wosankhidwa wanu kuti uku sikungakhale kufalikira kwa nkhondo yamlengalenga kapena kusuntha kuchoka ku kampeni imodzi yophulitsa bomba kupita ku yatsopano. Kungakhale kusuntha kwakanthawi kochepa, komwe kumatanthauzidwa kuti kutsekereza kuyenda kwamafuta. Ingakhale gawo limodzi lokha la kuyesetsa kwakukulu kutseka magwero a ndalama za ISIS.
Kenako, gwiritsani ntchito zovuta zilizonse zaukazembe ndi zachuma zomwe zilipo kuti zimveke bwino aliyense ku Turkey kuti ndi nthawi yoti musiye kuyendetsa mafuta a ISIS pa msika wakuda. Kenako gwiritsani ntchito zomwezo zaukazembe ndi zachuma kukakamiza ogula kuti asiye kugula. Ena malipoti zisonyeza kuti Israel, odulidwa kuchokera ku magwero ambiri a Aarabu a mafuta, wakhala wogula wamkulu wa zinthu za ISIS. Ngati ndi choncho, pondani zala zogwirizana nazo. Inde, wina akugula golide wakuda wamsika wakuda.
Zomwezo ziyenera kupita ku khalidwe la Turkey ku ISIS. Izi zitha kupitilira kutsimikiza mtima kwake nkhondo Asitikali aku Kurd akumenyana ndi ISIS momwe zilili analoledwa jihadis kuti alowe ku Syria kudutsa m'dera lake momwe alili zolembedwera zida zankhondo kumagulu osiyanasiyana achisilamu onyanyira mdzikolo. Phatikizani mamembala a NATO aku Turkey. Asiyeni anyamule zolemetsa. Ali ndi galu pankhondoyi, nawonso.
Ndipo polankhula za kuponda pa zala zogwirizana, ziwonetseni bwino kwa Saudis ndi mayiko ena a Sunni Persian Gulf kuti ayenera Imani potumiza ndalama ku ISIS. Inde, tikuuzidwa kuti kuyenda uku "Zoperekaโ akuchokera nzika zachinsinsi, osati boma la Saudi kapena la oyandikana nawo. Ngakhale zili choncho, ayenera kukhala okhoza kukakamiza kuti atseke valve. Iwalani"palibe kuwuluka chigawo chakumpoto kwa Syria - "njira" ina yopanda phindu pavuto la Islamic State kuti osankhidwa apurezidenti osiyanasiyana ali. tsopano plugging - ndikugwiritsa ntchito mabanki apadziko lonse lapansi kuti apange malo osayenda.
Simungathe kuyimitsa ndalama iliyonse kuti ifike ku ISIS, koma zambiri zidzachitika pomwe dola iliyonse imawerengera.
Wosankhidwa wanu adzakufunsani kuti, "N'chiyaninso? Payenera kukhala zambiri zomwe tingachite, sichoncho? โ
Kwa izi, yankho lanu liyenera kukhala losavuta: Tulukani. Kwezani ndege, tsitsani ma drones, ndikuchoka. Kokani nsapato, ophunzitsa, asilikali a ku America ndi omenyana nawo pafupi (chilichonse chomwe chingakhale chomveka kwa iwo). Aliyense amene adamverapo nyimbo yakumayiko akumadzulo amadziwa kuti nthawi zonse pamakhala nthawi yochoka patebulo ndikudula zomwe mwataya. Kuponya ndalama zambiri (miyoyo, kutchuka kwapadziko lonse ...) mumphika sikungasinthe makhadi omwe mukugwira. Zonse zomwe mukuchita ndikuchedwetsa zosapeลตeka pamtengo waukulu.
Pamapeto pake, palibe chomwe United States ingachite panjira zomwe zikuchitika ku Middle East kupatula kuyimirira pagombe kuyesera kukankhira kumbuyo mafunde.
Iyi ndi mbiri ikuyankhula kwa ife.
Chinthu cha Mbiri Yake ya Darn
Nthaลตi zina zinthu zimasintha moonekera panthaลตi inayake: December 7, 1941, ku Pearl Harbor, kapena mโmaลตa wa September 11, 2001. Nthaลตi zina kusinthako kumakhala kovuta kufotokoza, monga chiyambi cha chipwirikiti cha anthu chimene, ku U.S. kudziwika kuti "makumi asanu ndi limodzi".
Ku Middle East pambuyo pa Nkhondo Yadziko I, oimira opambana a British ndi French anajambula malire a mayiko mosaganizira za fuko, mipatuko, chipembedzo, fuko, chuma, kapena zenizeni. Cholinga chawo chinali kugawanitsa Ufumu wa Ottoman womwe unagonjetsedwa. Pambuyo pake, machitidwe awo achifumu atagwa, Washington adasamukira (ngakhale kukana madera enieni a ufumu ndi proxy). Ulamuliro wankhanza wapadziko lonse lapansi udayikidwa m'derali ndikuthandizidwa ndi azungu m'masiku awo omaliza. Chikhumbo chilichonse chofuna kudziyimira pawokha chinafooketsa kapena kuwonongedwa, monga momwe zidakhalira ndi Prime Minister wosankhidwa Mohammad Mossadegh ku Iran mu 1953, kapena momwe Obama akulamulira. kugwiritsidwa ntchito Arab Spring ku Egypt, zomwe zidapangitsa kuti boma losankhidwa mwa demokalase lichotsedwe mchaka cha 2013.
Pankhani yayikuluyi, Islamic State ndi chizindikiro chabe, osati matenda. Vuto la Washington lakhala chikhumbo chake chofuna kusunga dongosolo ladziko lomwe likugwa pakatikati pa Middle East. Kuwukira kwa boma la Bush ku Iraq mu 2003 kudapangitsa kuti ntchitoyi ikhale yowopsa kwambiri. Zaka khumi ndi ziwiri pambuyo pake, sipangakhale funso lililonse kuti mafunde asintha ku Middle East - mpaka kalekale.
Yakwana nthawi yoti US ayimire kumbuyo ndikulola osewera am'deralo kuthana ndi zomwe zikuchitika. Zowopsa za ISIS kwa ife ndizochepa. Chiwopsezo chake kwa omwe ali m'derali ndi nkhani inanso. Popanda Washington kupititsa patsogolo vutoli, ndi gulu lomwe malire ake adzawonekera mwachangu.
Nkhondo ndi ISIS, kwenikweni, kulimbana kwa malingaliro, odana ndi akumadzulo ndi odana ndi imperialist, odzazidwa ndi malingaliro achipembedzo. Simungathe kuphulitsa lingaliro kapena chipembedzo kutali. Chilichonse chomwe Washington angafune, gawo lalikulu la Middle East likulowera maboma omwe siadziko, komanso kuwonongedwa kwa ma monarchies ndi achifwamba ankhondo omwe akuyesabe kusunga zosinthidwa za dongosolo la nkhondo yoyamba yapadziko lonse lapansi. Pochita izi, malire, omwe akutha kale, posachedwa adzakonzedwanso m'njira zomwe zimasonyeza momwe anthu omwe ali pansi amadziwonera okha.
Palibe kugwiritsa ntchito pang'ono kukayikira ngati ichi ndi cholondola kapena cholakwika chifukwa palibe Washington angachite kuti ayimitse. Komabe, monga tinaphunzirira mโzaka 14 zapitazi, pali zambiri zimene zingachite kuti zinthu ziipire kwambiri kuposa mmene zinalili poyamba. Funso lomvetsa chisoni masiku ano ndiloti nthawi yopwetekayi imatenga nthawi yayitali bwanji komanso kuti imatulutsa mtengo wotani. Kutenga Purezidenti wakale George W. Bush mawu ndi kuzipotoza pang'ono, inu mwina ndi kuyenda kwa mbiriyakale kapena motsutsa izo.
Dziwope
Poyambirira, kuchotsedwa kwa asitikali aku Washington pakatikati pa Middle East mosakayikira kudzasokonezanso mphamvu zomwe zikuchitika mderali. Zitsulo zatsopano zidzayamba ndipo anthu osasangalatsa adzathamangiramo. Koma US ili ndi mbiri yakale yogwira ntchito mwanzeru ndi anthu ocheperako (ganizirani: Shah waku Iran, Anwar Sadat, kapena Saddam Hussein asanakhale mdani) kapena kuwapatula. . Iran, yomwe ili ndi mphamvu zomwe zikubwera kudera lomwe kulibe United States, mosakayikira idzapindula, koma kulowanso mu dongosolo la dziko lapansi ndi chimodzimodzi mosalephera.
Ndipo mafuta aziyendabe; ziyenera kutero. Mayiko a ku Middle East ali ndi katundu umodzi wokha ndipo akufunika kuitanitsa pafupifupi china chilichonse. Simungadye mafuta, ndiye muyenera kugulitsa, ndipo mafuta ambiri amagulitsidwa kale kwa ogula kwambiri. misika yapadziko lonse lapansi.
Ndizowona kuti, ngakhale zitatha kuchotsedwa ku America, Islamic State ikhoza kuyesabe kuyambitsa ziwopsezo ngati za Paris kapena kulimbikitsa zipolowe zamtundu wa San Bernardino chifukwa, kuchokera pamawonedwe okopa anthu komanso zabodza, ndikwabwino kukhala ndi US ndi US. maulamuliro akale achitsamunda ngati adani anu oyamba. Izi zinali zomwe Osama bin Laden adazindikira molawirira ku Washington. Anachita bwino kupyola maloto ake ovuta kwambiri kukokera US mozama mumatope ndikunyengerera Washington kuti amuchitire ntchito yake yambiri. Koma kuopsa kwa kuukiridwa koteroko kumakhalabe kochepa ndipo kungathe kupirira. Monga fuko, tinapulumuka Nkhondo Yachiwiri Yadziko Lonse, zaka zambiri zakuwonongedwa kwa zida za nyukiliya, komanso ziwopsezo zambiri kuposa ISIS. Ndizosazindikira kukhulupirira kuti uchigawenga ndiwowopsa kwambiri pa moyo wathu.
Ndipo apa pali chowonadi chosavuta kuti mufotokozere phungu wanu: sitingathe kuteteza chirichonse, popanda kutaya zonse zomwe zikuchitika. Titha kuyesa kutseka ma eyapoti ndi nyumba zaboma, koma palibe njira, komanso sikuyenera kukhala, kuti titetezere phwando lililonse latchuthi la San Bernardino, sukulu iliyonse, ndi malo okwerera basi. Kunena zoona, tiyenera kuchita manyazi kukhala anthu ochita mantha chonchi pano mโnyumba ya anthu olimba mtima. Masiku ano, zachisoni kwambiri, chitsanzo chodziwika bwino chazodziwika bwino zaku America ndikukhala dziko lowopsa kwambiri padziko lapansi. M'lingaliro limeneli tinganene kuti zigawenga "zikupambana" ku America.
Panthawiyi, wosankhidwa wanu adzanena mosakayika kuti: โDikirani! Kodi malingaliro awa sadzakhala ovuta kugulitsa kwa anthu aku America? Kodi abwenzi athu angakane?"
Ndipo yankho ku izi, makamaka kwa wosankhidwa yemwe sanakhulupirire kuti njira yokhayo yofanana ndiyo njira yokhayo yopitira, ikhoza kukhala: "Pambuyo pa zaka zopitilira 14 za mayankho olakwika ndi masoka omwe adatsatira, kodi muli ndi china chabwinoko ukuganiza?โ
Peter Van Buren, a TomDispatch zonse, adayimba mluzu pakuwonongeka kwa dipatimenti ya boma komanso kusawongolera bwino pakumanganso ku Iraq Tinkatanthawuza Bwino: Momwe Ndinathandizira Kutaya Nkhondo ya Mitima ndi Malingaliro a Anthu aku Iraq. A TomDispatch nthawi zonse, amalemba za zochitika zamakono pa Tinkakondana Bwino. Buku lake laposachedwa ndi Mizimu ya Tom Joad: Nkhani ya #99Percent. Ntchito yake yotsatira idzakhala buku, Nkhondo ya Hooper.
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Ndalama
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Chifukwa chiyani kusiyira kumbuyo ku Middle East?
Malingaliro omwewo angagwiritsidwe ntchito ku Japan, Germany, Philippines, Indonesia, Africa, Central America ndi South America.
Mwamsanga gulu lankhondo-Industrial likulamulidwa kuti libwerere pansi ndikuyamwa mchenga, posachedwapa dziko lonse lapansi lidzabwera pamtendere.
Tsoka ilo mulibe phindu mumtendere. Ndalama zazikuluzikulu zili mu kumenya nkhondo ndikusunga wokhometsa msonkho mu mkhalidwe wamantha mosalekeza.