Ndikosatheka kumvetsetsa chifukwa chomwe boma la Turkey lingachite nawo njira yodzipha yogwetsera Russian Su-24 kudera la Syria - mwaukadaulo kulengeza za nkhondo ya NATO ku Russia - osayikapo zamasewera aku Turkey kumpoto kwa Syria.
Purezidenti Vladmir Putin adati kugwa kwa ndege yankhondo yaku Russia ndi "kubaya kumbuyo." Choncho, tiyeni tione mmene mfundo za mโBaibulo zinalolera kuti zimenezi zichitike.
Ankara imagwiritsa ntchito, ndalama, ndi zida zankhondo zamagulu ochita zinthu monyanyira kumpoto kwa Syria, ndipo ikufunika mwanjira iliyonse kuti makonde obwera kuchokera kum'mwera kwa Turkey akhale otseguka kwa iwo; Pambuyo pa zonse zomwe akufunikira kuti agonjetse Aleppo, zomwe zingatsegule njira ya Holy Grail ya Ankara: kusintha kwa boma ku Damasiko.
Nthawi yomweyo Ankara akuwopa ndi YPG - Suriya Kurd People's Protection Units - bungwe la mlongo wa PKK wakumanzere. Izi ziyenera kuperekedwa pamtengo uliwonse.
Chifukwa chake gulu la Islamic State - lomwe bungwe la United Nations lidalengeza zankhondo - ndi tsatanetsatane wa njira yonse ya Ankara, yomwe ndiyofunika kumenya nkhondo, kukhala kapena kuphulitsa Kurds; kuthandizira mitundu yonse ya ma Takfiris ndi ma Salafi-jihadis, kuphatikiza gulu la Islamic State; ndi kupeza kusintha kwa ulamuliro ku Damasiko.
Mosadabwitsa, a YPG Syrian Kurds ali ndi ziwanda kwambiri ku Turkey, akuimbidwa mlandu woyesera kuyeretsa midzi ya Aarabu ndi Turkmen kumpoto kwa Syria.
Komabe, zomwe a Kurds aku Syria akuyesera - komanso kuchenjeza kwa Ankara, mothandizidwa ndi US - ndikulumikiza magawo atatu a dziko la Kurd kumpoto kwa Syria.
Kuyang'ana pamapu opanda ungwiro a ku Turkey kukuwonetsa momwe magawo awiri mwa malowa (wachikasu) adalumikizana kale kumpoto chakum'mawa. Kuti akwaniritse izi, a Kurds aku Syria, mothandizidwa ndi PKK, adagonjetsa gulu la Islamic State ku Kobani ndi madera ozungulira. Kuti akafike pagawo lachitatu, ayenera kukafika ku Afryn. Komabe panjira (yabuluu) pali midzi ya Turkmen kumpoto kwa Aleppo.
Kufunika kwaukadaulo kwa maiko a Turkmen sikungatsindike mokwanira. Ndili m'derali, lomwe likufika pamtunda wa makilomita a 35, kuti Ankara akufuna kukhazikitsa malo ake otchedwa "malo otetezeka," omwe adzakhala malo opanda ntchentche, m'dera la Syria, mwachiwonekere kuti azikhala othawa kwawo aku Syria, ndipo ndi chilichonse cholipidwa ndi EU, yomwe yatsegula kale ma euro 3 biliyoni, kuyambira Jan. 1, kudzera ku European Commission (EC).
Cholepheretsa chomwe sichingagonjetse ku Turkey kuti ipeze malo ake osawuluka, mwachidziwikire, Russia.
Kugwiritsa ntchito Turkmen
Kodi Turkmen ndi ndani? Apa tikuyenera kubwereranso ku mbiri yakale ya Silk Road. Pali pafupifupi 200,000 Turkmen okhala kumpoto kwa Syria. Ndi mbadwa za mafuko a Turkmen omwe anasamukira ku Anatolia m'zaka za zana la 11.
Midzi ya Turkmen imameranso kumpoto kwa chigawo cha Idlib, kumadzulo kwa Aleppo, komanso kumpoto kwa chigawo cha Latakia, kumadzulo kwa Idlib. Ndipo ndipamene timapeza gulu lomwe silikukambidwa kawirikawiri: gulu lankhondo la Turkmen.
Nthano yakuti anthu wamba osalakwa a Turkmen akuphedwa ndi "ulamuliro wa Assad" ndi nthano chabe. Ku Washington magulu ankhondo awa amawonedwa ngati "zigawenga zodziyimira pawokha" - monga momwe adaphatikizidwira ndi mitundu yonse ya zovala za jihadi kapena jihadi-gobbled, kuchokera ku gulu lankhondo la Free Syrian Army kupita ku Jabhat al-Nusra, aka al-Qaida ku Syria (lomwe limapangitsa kuti anthu asamavutike kwambiri). Vienna pomaliza adatcha gulu la zigawenga).
Mwachidziwikire, atolankhani aku Turkey amalemekeza onse aku Turkmen ngati "omenyera ufulu," a Ronald Reagan mu 1980s jihad Afghan. Makanema aku Turkey akuzungulira gawo lawo lonse akulamulidwa ndi "osalakwa" otsutsa a Turkmen, osati gulu la Islamic State. Osati gulu la Islamic State, inde, koma makamaka al-Nusra, zomwe zili zofanana.
Kwa Russia, palibe kusiyana, makamaka chifukwa gulu la Chechens, Uzbeks ndi Uyghurs (Chinese intel lili pamenepo) afunafuna doko pakati pa "odziletsa" awa. Ku Russia chomwe chili chofunikira ndikuphwanya mwayi uliwonse wa Jihad Highway wamtali wa 900 km pakati pa Aleppo ndi Grozny.
Ndipo izi zikufotokozera za bomba la Russia kumpoto kwa Latakia. Ankara, mwachidziwikire, adapita patsogolo. Unduna wa Zachilendo unaopseza Russia masiku angapo apitawo; "Zochita za mbali ya Russia sizinali kulimbana ndi zigawenga, koma zidaphulitsa midzi ya anthu wamba ya Turkmen ndipo izi zingayambitse mavuto aakulu."
Ankara imathandizira mwachindunji magulu ankhondo aku Turkmen ndi thandizo la anthu koma chofunikira kwambiri ndi zida; zotumiza zamagalimoto zoyendetsedwa ndi MIT - nzeru zaku Turkey.
Izi zonse zikugwirizana ndi nthano zachipani cha AKP zoteteza ngakhale anthu asanayambe Ottoman; pambuyo pa zonse iwo nthawizonse amapereka "ntchito zabwino" ku Islam. A Turkmen aku Syria ndi opembedza ngati utsogoleri wa AKP ku Ankara.
Chiwembuchi chimakula
Kwa Russia, dera lotchedwa Turkmen Mountain, kapena kutalika - komwe anthu a ku Turkey amawatcha kuti Bayirbucak - kumpoto kwa chigawo cha Latakia, ndilo cholinga chachikulu. Chifukwa ndipamene timapeza Weapon Highway - yomwe Ankara, pambali ndi CIA, imagwiritsa ntchito zida zankhondo izi.
Kwa Russia, kuthekera kulikonse kwa magulu ankhondo ogwirizana ndi a Salafis ndi a Salafi-jihadis kuyesa kukankha kuti agonjetse kwambiri chigawo cha Alawite Latakia ndi mzere wofiira chifukwa izi zitha kuwopseza bwalo la ndege la Russia ku Khmeimim ndipo pamapeto pake ngakhale doko la Tartus.
Chifukwa chake tili ndi zida za CIA - zida zodziwika bwino za TOW zolimbana ndi akasinja - pogwiritsa ntchito njira yozembetsa kudutsa m'gawo la Turkmen lomwe ndi gulu la al-Qaeda ku Syria-run Ankara power base. Awa ndi gawo lalikulu la US, Turkey ndi Saudi Arabia kuti awononge Damasiko, komanso gawo lalikulu lankhondo: NATO (US-Turkey) motsutsana ndi Russia.
CIA imayendetsa ma TOWs kupita ku 45 "vetted" - motero "opanduka apakati" - zovala. Zachabechabe; zida zagwidwa ndi jihadis odziwa zambiri a al-Qaida ku Syria, komanso nebulae yotchedwa Army of Conquest, yothandizidwa ndi Saudi Arabia.
Choncho kuti awonongeretu Jabhat al-Nusra ndi Gulu Lankhondo Logonjetsa, dziko la Russia linayamba kuphulitsa mabomba kwa anthu ozembetsa anthu a ku Turkmenistan, omwe โamakhala osadziletsa;โ amalowetsedwa ponseponse ndi Turkey Islamo-fascists - monga omwe adawombera makina oyendetsa ndege a ku Russia Lt. Col Oleg Pershin pamene anali parachuting, mlandu wa nkhondo malinga ndi Misonkhano Yachigawo ya Geneva.
Zomwe zikuchitika ku Russia sizingakhale zolemetsa chifukwa pogwiritsa ntchito mafuko a Turkmen, Turkey idabzalidwa kale kumpoto kwa Syria.
Chifukwa chake yembekezerani kuti Russia ichulukitsa kuphulika kwa mabomba kumadera aku Turkmen - kupitilira kubwezera kupha woyendetsa waku Russia.
Kwina konse, Russia ili ndi njira zina zambiri - monga powonjezera zida za YPG; Izi zikanawalola kuti atengenso malire apakati pa Afryn ndi Jarablus omwe akulamulidwabe ndi gulu la Islamic State. Ankara adzakhala apoplectic ngati a Kurds aku Syria agwirizanitsa gawo lawo lomwe silinagwirizane ndi zomwe amatcha Rojava.
Chofunikira ndichakuti Turkey ndi Russia sizingakhale gawo limodzi la mgwirizano womwe ukulimbana ndi gulu la Islamic State chifukwa zolinga zawo zimatsutsana kwambiri.
Wolemba mbiri waku Istanbul Cam Erimtan akufotokoza chithunzi chachikulu:
โBoma latsopano la Turkey lidayambanso kulamulira tsiku lomwe ndege ya ku Russia idagwetsedwa. Ndipo tsopano Prime Minister wachinyengo Davutoglu ndi Purezidenti Erdogan wosasamala akutenga nawo mbali pakuwongolera zowonongeka ndikulimbikitsa anthu apakhomo, pakadali pano akusiya zonena zawo zokomera mgwirizano wa Chisilamu ndikusewera khadi ladziko lonse. Ngakhale kuti ntchito zankhondo mosakayikira zidzabweretsa phindu lalikulu pakutchuka kwapakhomo, zotsatira zachuma zayamba kuonekera, ndi Russia ikuletsa kuitanitsa katundu wa Turkey. Izi zitha kuwonetsa kuti boma lotsogozedwa ndi AKP lidangokhala ngati laki ya NATO, kunyalanyaza zomwe zikuchitika pansi ndikukondwera ndi zidzukulu zaphokoso. "
Kukula sikutenga nthawi yayitali chifukwa Russia ichita kuzizira, kuwerengetsa, mwachangu, mosiyanasiyana komanso mosayembekezereka pakugwa kwa Su-24.
Sitima yapamadzi yaku Russia ya Moskva - yodzaza ndi zida zoteteza ndege - tsopano ikuzungulira dera lonselo. Njira ziwiri za S-400 zidzakhudza kumpoto chakumadzulo kwa Syria ndi kumalire a kum'mwera kwa Turkey. Russia amatha kupanikizana pakompyuta lonse kum'mwera kwa Turkey. Palibe njira yomwe Erdogan adzakhala ndi "malo otetezeka" omwe amalipidwa ndi EU mkati mwa Syria pokhapokha atapita kunkhondo yolimbana ndi Russia.
Chomwe chili chotsimikizika ndichakuti chofunikira kwambiri ku Russia kuyambira pano ndikuphwanya njira yoopsa ya Turkey kumpoto kwa Syria.
Pepe Escobar ndi katswiri wodziyimira pawokha wa geopolitical. Amalembera RT, Sputnik ndi TomDispatch, ndipo amathandizira pafupipafupi mawebusayiti ndi ma wailesi ndi makanema apa TV kuyambira ku US kupita ku East Asia. Ndi mtolankhani wakale wa Asia Times Online, pomwe adalemba ndime yakuti The Roving Eye kuyambira 2000 mpaka 2014. Wobadwira ku Brazil, wakhala mtolankhani wakunja kuyambira 1985, ndipo amakhala ku London, Paris, Milan, Los Angeles, Washington. , Bangkok ndi Hong Kong. Ngakhale 9/11 isanakwane, adachita chidwi kwambiri ndi arc kuchokera ku Middle East kupita ku Central ndi East Asia, ndikugogomezera pa Big Power geopolitics ndi nkhondo zamphamvu. Iye ndi mlembi wa "Globalistan" (2007), "Red Zone Blues" (2007), "Obama amachita Globalistan" (2009) ndi "Empire of Chaos" (2014), onse ofalitsidwa ndi Nimble Books. Buku lake laposachedwa ndi "2030", komanso la Nimble Books, mu December 2015. Panopa akukhala pakati pa Paris ndi Bangkok. Tsatirani iye pa Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/pepe.escobar.77377
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