Mtsogoleri wakale wa CIA General Michael Hayden limati Iraq yafa, "siyikonzanso," ndipo idzasinthidwa ndi "mayiko atatu olowa m'malo." Mmodzi mwa iwo, omwe Gen. Hayden amawatcha "Sunnistan," adzakhala malo otetezeka kwa zigawenga ndipo ayenera kuchitidwa ngati Waziristan, malo ochitira chinsinsi komanso kumenyedwa kwa drone m'madera a mafuko a Pakistan. Yachiwiri, yotchedwa "Shiastan," iyenera kulumikizidwa ndi kulandanso malo oyenga mafuta kumpoto kwa Baghdad, ndiyeno kusiyidwa pamalo ochepetsedwa kwambiri. The US ayenera "snuggle up omasuka" ku Kurdistan, America yekha ally, kumene Peshmerga asilikali akupikisana ulamuliro zonse mafuta Kirkuk.
Uku ndiye "kuthetsedwa" kwa Iraq komwe kumalimbikitsidwa ndi Arabist Bernard Lewis kalekale, kutha kwa dziko lomwe linali lamphamvu kwambiri lachiarabu. (Onani โKumbuyo kwa 'Misala' ku Iraq") Ndipo ndizosiyana kwambiri ndi mzere wotengedwa ndi Purezidenti Barack Obama ndi ena, omwe akukakamiza mtsogoleri wa Shiite Nouri al-Maliki kuti apange mgwirizano wa "kugawana mphamvu" kapena kusinthidwa, monga chithandizo cha US.
Kungoganiza kuti Gen. Hayden akulondola, ndizosadabwitsa kufunsa kuti ndi ntchito yanji yomwe alangizi atsopano ankhondo aku US 300 adzakhale akutumikira pakati pa Iraq yomwe ikusweka. Koma poganiza kuti Obama atha kusokoneza kapena kuchotsa al-Maliki, kuwunika kwa a General Hayden akulozera ku slide yosasinthika kumapeto kwa Iraq. Mahatchi onse a mfumu ndi amuna onse a mfumu mwina sangathe kuyikanso Humpty Dumpty.
A US adzayenera kusankha pakati pa olekanitsa a Kurdistan omwe adagwira Kirkuk ndi minda yake ya mafuta, ndi boma la Shiite al-Maliki komanso ngakhale Sunni omwe amatsutsa kudzilamulira kwakukulu kwa Kurdish. Ndiye US adzayesa chigamba pamodzi mgwirizano pakati pa Shiites ndi Sunni ku Baghdad, ngati pali aliyense amene akufuna coalesce m'malo kumenyana, lomwe ndi lingaliro losakhazikika bwino. Pomaliza, komanso chofunikira kwambiri, a US akulowa m'nkhondo yachinsinsi yolimbana ndi zigawenga za Sunni zomwe tsopano zikugwira kumpoto chakumadzulo kwa Iraq ndi kum'mwera chakum'mawa kwa Syria ngati gawo lalikulu lomasulidwa popita kukalengeza za Caliphate.
Oo. Chinsinsi china ndipo mwina, nkhondo yosagonjetsa. Kodi atolankhani kapena a Congress apeza bwanji nkhani zodalirika kuchokera kudera losafikirika? Chomwe chikuwoneka bwino ndi chakuti US ikuyang'ana ku mgwirizano wa de facto ndi mdani wake wakale wakale, Iran, kumbali ya ma Shiites aku Iraq ndi wolamulira wankhanza waku Syria Bashir al-Assad ku Damasiko kumpoto. Kusunthaku kungasokoneze Tel Aviv ndi Riyadh, ndipo kukhoza kuwonjezera mwayi wa mgwirizano wanyukiliya wa US-Iran.
Ndiye kuli dziko la Afghanistan, lomwe lili pafupi ndi chipwirikiti patadutsa milungu ingapo kuchokera pamene anthu ambiri amafalitsa nkhani zokhudza chisankho โchopambanaโ chapulezidenti. Woyimira wamkulu pamzere woyamba, Abdullah, adatuluka bwino, akudzudzula kuvota komaliza komwe kudapangidwa ndi chiwembu cha Karzai. Iye akhoza kukhala wolondola. Abdullah akuyimira gulu lakale la Northern Alliance pankhondo yapachiweniweni yomwe idachitika mdzikolo. Choyambirira cha Abdullah, ngakhale osati kokha, maziko ali m'gulu la ochepa a Tajik, omwe modabwitsa, kapena ayi, adagwirizana ndi Iran. M'malo mwake, Iran idathandizira US kugwetsa ulamuliro woyamba wa Taliban, kenako idalimbikitsa a Tajik kuti athandize Karzai kupanga boma lake latsopano. Zokonda zosokoneza za Iran ndi zamagulu komanso zothandiza. Amatsutsa malingaliro a a Taliban, akufuna kuteteza anzawo amitundu ku Afghanistan, ndikuletsa kufalikira kwa mankhwala osokoneza bongo kumalire a Afghanistan ndi Iran akulowera ku Europe.
Kodi olamulira a Obama angakwanitse kuwona Afghanistan ikukhala yosagwira bwino ntchito kuposa kale, pamwamba pa fiasco ku Iraq? A Taliban atha kumenya nkhondo nthawi iliyonse yomwe asankha pomwe asitikali aku US akupitiliza kuchoka. Kukakamizika kwake kumatha kukulitsa kutsutsana kwamkati ku Kabul yomwe yagwedezeka kale, monganso kuukira kwa ISIS kwachititsa kuti boma liziyenda bwino ku Baghdad.
M'malo "othetsa nkhondo ziwiri", kodi a Obama adzaimbidwa mlandu wolephera kuthetsa nkhondo ziwiri zomwe olamulira a Bush sanayenera kuyamba? Kodi mfundo za ku America zatsogolera ku malo atsopano opatulika ku "Sunnistan" kumene zigawenga zidzayambika? Kodi kulowererapo pankhondo ziwiri zapachiลตeniลตeni zamagulu amagulu kwapanga masauzande ambiri a jihadist omwe akufuna kubwezera anthu aku America? Koma Senator John McCain, Senator Lindeay Graham ndi omwe akukwera akumva kuti akutsimikiziridwa kuchokera kumbali. Ma Dynasties a Kristol ndi Kagan akudzipangira okha, ngakhale mayankho awo adachokera m'zaka za zana la XNUMX.
Pakadali pano, Congress idayimitsidwa kuchoka pantchito yake pamacheke ndi miyeso. Sabata ino, komabe, povotera mawu, Nyumbayi idavomereza kusintha kwachitetezo komwe kumaletsa ndalama za asitikali aku US ku Iraq "okonzeka kumenya nkhondo" kapena pafupi ndi "kuchita nawo ziwawa," zomwe zitha kuyambitsa mavuto ankhondo ofanana ndi omwewo. Purezidenti adakumana ndi vuto lalikulu ku Syria. Ngakhale kuyesayesa kolimba mtima motsogozedwa ndi Woimira Barbara Lee, mothandizidwa ndi mitsinje ya mauthenga odana ndi nkhondo ku Phiri, Republican House inakana zida zingapo zothandiza kupewa nkhondo:
- Ayi pakusintha kwa Lee kuletsa ndalama zogwirira ntchito zankhondo ku Iraq. (Okanidwa 250-165, ma Democrat kuvota 142-44-13)
- Ayi pakusintha kwa Lee kuletsa ndalama motsatira Chilolezo cha 2002 cha Kugwiritsa Ntchito Gulu Lankhondo. (Okanidwa 231-182, ma Democrat kuvota 151-35-13)
Chiphunzitso cha Nkhondo Yaitali yolimbana ndi uchigawenga chikupitirirabe. Ofotokozedwa ndi akatswiri a Pentagon ngati chinsinsi cholimbana ndi uchigawenga komanso ntchito zolimbana ndi zigawenga pazaka za 50-80, ndondomekoyi mwina yalepheretsa zigawenga ku US koma zachititsa kuti anthu ayambe kuthamangitsa zigawenga zosinthika mpaka kalekale. kukulitsa mabwalo ankhondo, chaposachedwa kwambiri ku North Africa. Chodabwitsa kwambiri ndichakuti jihad yatsopano komanso yowopsa ikufalikira m'malo omwe US โโidati, "Mission yakwaniritsidwa." M'malo mopambana, ndondomeko za US zabzala mbewu za zigawenga zamtsogolo pa nthaka ya America kwa zaka zambiri. Kulephera kodziwikiratu kwa Nkhondo Yaitali pankhondo sikukuwoneka ngati kuli kofunikira ngati sikukhalabe ndi ndale. Nkhondo yomaliza pankhondo yolimbana ndi uchigawenga, idzamenyedwa pazandale za ku America, popitiliza kusandutsa zigawo za congressional kukhala malo atsopano opatulika, chifukwa cha zigawenga zomwe zimakonda mtendere.
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