Gwero: Ecoequity
Inu mukukumbukira Pangano la Paris, chabwino? Monga chinthu chabwino, sichoncho?
Pali zifukwa ziwiri zomwe muyenera kutero. Yoyamba ndiyakuti Paris ilipodi, ndipo itha kukhala ngati mwala wofunikira pakulimbikitsa nyengo. Chachiwiri ndi chakuti "njira zake zokhumba" ("chilakolako chake") cholinga chake ndi kulimbikitsa malonjezo a dziko lonse (odziwika bwino omwe amadziwika kuti "ndondomeko zodziwika bwino" kapena NDCs) mobwerezabwereza, pamene nthawi ikupita. Kuti, mbiri yakuwerengera kwanyengo ikadzalembedwa pomaliza, ratchet ya Paris idzakhala gawo lofunikira kwambiri pankhaniyi. Ngati zagwira ntchito, ndiye kuti zolakwa zonse za Mgwirizano zidzakhululukidwa. Ngati sichoncho, tiyenera kuvomereza, chifukwa cha chitonthozo chilichonse chomwe chimatibweretsera, kuti onyoza omwe ali mgulu lathu anali olondola, ndikuti Paris inali lonjezo lina labodza.
Ichi sichidutswa pamwambo wofuna kutchuka, ngakhale ndikukonzekera kulemba chimodzi. M'malo mwake, ndi chidziwitso chofulumira kulengeza "Malingaliro a kampani Fair Shares NDC"yomwe idatulutsidwa posachedwa ndi gulu la anthu ndi magulu azanyengo aku US omwe atsala pang'ono, ndicholinga chofuna kutsanzira zomwe tikukhulupirira kuti US iyenera kulonjeza, mchaka choyamba chofunikira kwambiri cha zomwe zikulonjeza. zaka khumi zofunika kwambiri. Sitikufuna Malingaliro a kampani Fair Shares NDC ndi zangwiro—iyi ndi ntchito yomwe ikuchitika—koma timanena kuti mafunso ake, “zosatheka” kapena “ongoganiza chabe” ngakhale mungaganize kuti ndi zangwiro, siziyenera kuyikidwa pambali mwachisawawa, osati ngati tikufuna kukwaniritsa zolinga za kutentha kwa Paris. . M'malo mwake, osachepera, tengani Malingaliro a kampani Fair Shares NDC monga muyezo woyezera zomwe Biden Administration akupereka.
Chimodzi mwazinthu zazikuluzikulu - kulimbikitsa kwanyengo tsopano kwayamba mwachangu, ndipo si Paris yomwe idayambitsa. Paris sanapweteke, koma ngati muyang'ana kumbuyo kwa chikhomo chimodzi chabwino kwambiri, chomwe chimawunikira momveka bwino kutha kwa interregnum yotsutsa komanso chiyambi cha kulimbana kwamasiku ano kuti mukhale ovuta, mungakhale bwino posankha lipoti lapadera la IPCC. Kutentha kwapadziko lonse kwa 1.5° C, yomwe mwanjira ina inatha kusuntha chimango. Mutha kuwona izi mu mawonekedwe a zokambirana zamakono, momwe mayiko padziko lonse lapansi akufunsidwa kuti alengeze zomwe alonjeza kuti achepetse mpweya wawo "zero zowopsa” pofika m’chaka cha 2050. Chiwerengerochi chikuchokera ku lipoti la IPCC, lomwe linatiuza, mwa zina zambiri, kuti tachita zonse zimene tingathe kuti kutentha kukhale 1.5°C, ndipo zimenezi zikutanthauza kuti padziko lonse lapansi padzakhala kuchepa ndi pafupifupi 50 peresenti pofika 2030. [I]
Pali zambiri zonena za manambalawa, koma chowonadi apa ndi chakuti iwo apita ku ma virus, komanso ofala, ndipo atenga mpweya pafupifupi wokhazikika. Simuli aliyense, masiku ano, ngati simunapange lonjezo la zero 2050. Zomwe sizili vuto. Vuto ndiloti dziko lathu ndi dziko limene mayiko ena ali olemera kwambiri, pamene ena sali, momwe mayiko ena atulutsa mpweya wambiri wowonjezera kutentha, pamene ena sanatero, komabe kukakamizidwa kwa mayiko kuti akwaniritse kukakamiza kwapadziko lonse. malonjezano a dziko lonse a zero zero 2050 osagwirizana ndi malamulo amatengera mfundo zofotokozerazi. Kufikira pomwe pano, ndi malonjezo a 2030 omwe ali pachiwopsezo, ngakhale mayiko olemera ngati US atha kutsata chiwopsezo chapadziko lonse lapansi - 50% pofika 2030 chandamale chochepetsera - ndikuyembekeza kuti chivomerezedwa ndi anthu ambiri, chabwino, pabwino.
Vuto ndiloti chiwerengero cha 50%-chomwe IPCC chinati ndi padziko lonse Cholinga chochepetsera cha 2030—si njira iliyonse chiwongolero choyenera cha magawo adziko lonse, komanso sichidzakhalanso. Palibe tsogolo lomwe gawo labwino la 2030 US, ndi gawo la 2030, tinene, Sierra Leone, zikhala chimodzimodzi. Zomwe zimatifikitsa ku funso lomwe lili pamtima pa Malingaliro a kampani Fair Shares NDC-chani ayenera lonjezo la US mu NDC yake yatsopano? Kapena, ndendende, chiyani akanatero ikulonjeza ngati ikufuna kuchita nawo gawo lake loyenera, mogwirizana ndi zofuna za 1.5 ° C kutentha kwapadziko lonse lapansi, komanso chifukwa cha chuma chake chambiri komanso udindo wake?
Ili ndi funso lalikulu, ndipo ndinena zambiri zazambiri pongozindikira kuti idayankhidwa kwakanthawi kochepa, mkati mwa US Climate Action Network, yomwe idavomera kuti ithandizire gawo la US fair share chandamale cha 195. %. Ndendende, USCAN yakhazikitsa cholembera chotsatira . . .
"USCAN ikukhulupirira kuti gawo labwino la US pakuchitapo kanthu kwapadziko lonse lapansi mu 2030 ndi lofanana ndi kuchepetsedwa kwa 195% pansi pamilingo yake yotulutsa mpweya mu 2005, kuwonetsa gawo loyenera la 173-229%"
. . . ndipo tsopano, motsatira pang'ono, mgwirizano wathu wa ad-hoc watulutsa Malingaliro a kampani Fair Shares NDC, zomwe zimamanga pa malo a USCAN m'njira ziwiri zazikulu. Ndizosiyana, chifukwa chimodzi - pali zambiri ku NDC yapadziko lonse kuposa kungofuna kuchitapo kanthu - ndipo, mfundo apa, ikuwonetsa kuti "195%" m'malo momveka bwino.
Action Aid ndi membala wamkulu wa gulu la US fair shares. Umu ndi momwe amaziyika:
“Malinga ndi kusanthula zomwe zimapereka maziko a Fair Shares NDC, United States iyenera kudzipereka ku kuchepetsedwa kwa 195% kwa mpweya wowonjezera kutentha pofika chaka cha 2030 poyerekeza ndi milingo ya 2005. Izi ndi pafupifupi ma gigatonnes 14 (matani mabiliyoni a metric) a mpweya wowonjezera kutentha chaka chilichonse pofika 2030. Kuti akwaniritse cholingachi, United States iyenera kukhala ndi cholinga chochita zinthu ziwiri:
* kuchepetsa kutulutsa mpweya ndi 70% pofika 2030 (pafupifupi 5 gigatonnes pachaka), ndi
* kuthandizira mayiko omwe akutukuka kumene kuti achepetse mpweya wawo ndi ma gigatonnes 9 owonjezera pachaka pofika 2030 - motero amapanga 125% yotsala ya 195% yathu.
(Kuti muwone, NASA POYEREKEZA 1 gigatonnes mpaka 10,000 zonyamulira ndege zaku US zodzaza mokwanira.)
Tidagwiritsa ntchito njira zosiyanasiyana kuti tidziwe momwe chandamale cha 125% chothandizira mayiko ena chikawoneka ngati titasintha kukhala madola. Mayankho amasiyana mosiyanasiyana, koma kuyerekezera konse kodalirika kuli mabiliyoni ambiri. Mu Fair Shares NDC, tikupempha dziko la United States kuti lipereke ndalama zokwana madola 800 biliyoni pazachuma cha nyengo ya nyengo ya 2021-2030, monga chiwongola dzanja ku gawo loyenera lomwe kwenikweni ndi lalikulu kwambiri. "
Mfundo ina, kuti musaganize kusanthula uku, chabwino, chosatheka. Zomwe tikuchita pano ndikutsimikizira mtundu watsopano wa zenizeni, momwe timayika zomwe timawona kuti ndizofunikira, osati zomwe tikuganiza kuti titha kuzipeza nthawi yomweyo. Chifukwa chake ndichifukwa chake Malingaliro a kampani Fair Shares NDC sizimangochepetsa kuchepetsa, koma zimatengera kusintha ndi kutayika & kuwononga ndalama, mozama kwambiri. Ndalama zokwana madola 800 biliyoni zomwe tikupempha zagawidwa m'magawo atatu; ndalama zokwana madola 267 biliyoni (zazaka khumi) zochepetsera zimagwirizana ndi chiwerengero chofanana chosinthira, ndikufanizidwanso ndi chiwerengero chofanana cha kutaya ndi kuwonongeka. Kuti muwone zambiri, dinani batani Malingaliro a kampani Fair Shares NDC ndipo yang'anani pa luso lowonjezera, lomwe limapereka chidule cha deta yamtengo wapatali yomwe ilipo pazigawo zonse zitatu - kuchepetsa, kusintha, ndi kutayika & kuwonongeka - ndikuwonetsa, mwatsatanetsatane wowawa, momwe mpira wamtengo wapatali wokwana madola 800 biliyoni ulidi.
Mfundo zingapo zowonjezera. Choyamba, ndizowona kuti timalingalira $800 biliyoni ngati kubweza kwachikhulupiriro. Sitikuyembekezera kuti dziko la United States lidzapereka gawo lake lonse popanda mgwirizano wamayiko ambiri momwe mayiko ena olemera amachitanso chimodzimodzi. Chachiwiri, yapita nthawi yoti mumvetse bwino za mtengo wochepetsera. Kunena zoona, renewables revolution ndi chenicheni. Dzuwa ndi mphepo ndi mphamvu zikutsika mtengo kwambiri kotero kuti mphamvu zakufa sizingapambane nazo muzinthu zilizonse monga "msika waulere," zinali choncho kukhalapo. Koma izi sizikutanthauza kuti mtengo wonse wa kusintha kwa mphamvu udzakhala "woyipa," monga techno-optimists akulimbikira. Zonena zoterezi zimanyalanyaza zovuta zazikulu zomwe zimaperekedwa ndi cholinga cha 1.5 ° C, ndikuyesa kuti kusintha kosinthika kofulumira kudzachitika popanda kusintha kwakukulu, ndipo sikudzatero. Onani Zowonjezera mu Malingaliro a kampani Fair Shares NDC kuti mukambirane mwatsatanetsatane mfundo izi.
Zonsezi zikutanthauza kuti NDC iliyonse ya US yomwe imapanga 50% pofika 2030 cholinga chochepetsera mpweya wa m'nyumba, zomwe zimaperekedwa popanda zina zowonjezera zothandizira mayiko, sizigwirizana kwambiri ndi kusanthula kwa magawo abwino ndi cholinga cha 1.5C. Cholinga cha 195%, kumbali ina, ndi chololera, chomwe mungathe kuchiwona pochiphwanya, pang'onopang'ono, kuchokera pa udindo woyamba ndi kuwerengera mphamvu, kupyolera mumtengo wokhazikika pazigawo zonse zitatu, mpaka kumapeto. zomwe malipiro ochepa okha ndi omwe angaperekedwe mopanda malire. Osati, zowona, kuti tikuyembekeza kuti odziwa bwino za beltway apereke mfundo iyi, osati mosavuta mulimonse, koma imayimabe. Chikhumbo chachikulu chikufunika kuchokera ku United States ngati tikufuna kupewa chisalungamo chanyengo padziko lonse lapansi.
Ndizothandiza, mu zonsezi, kukumbukira zomwe zimatchedwa "windo la Overton", lomwe Wikipedia imatanthauzira monga "ndondomeko zovomerezeka pazandale kwa anthu ambiri pa nthawi yomwe yaperekedwa". Mfundo ndi yakuti ndondomeko zotere, zomwe nthawi zambiri zimatengedwa kuti ndizochepa kapena zenizeni, zimakhala mwa tanthauzo yaing'ono kwambiri komanso yowonjezereka kuti ikhazikitse dongosolo la nyengo, cholinga chomwe, panthawiyi, chimafuna kutha kwa mpweya wamafuta, komanso kutha kwa kuchotsa mafuta oyaka. Nanga tiyenera kuchita chiyani? Yankho ndilodziwikiratu - tiyenera kuchitapo kanthu mwachangu ngakhale zenera la Overton momwe tingathere, ndipo komanso akuyenera kukulitsa zenera, kotero kuti kusintha kwakukulu kwadongosolo kukhalenso "kovomerezeka mwandale kwa anthu ambiri." Tiyenera kuchita zinthu ziwiri zonsezi nthawi imodzi. Palibe chochitira, osati ngati tikuyembekeza moona mtima kukwaniritsa zolinga za kutentha kwa Pangano la Paris.
Choncho, a Malingaliro a kampani Fair Shares NDC ikufotokoza zinthu zingapo zomwe oyang'anira a Biden angachite, ndi mfundo zomwe Congress ingakwaniritse, kuti ikwaniritse zofunikira ngati United States ichita gawo lake. Timazindikira kuti zochita ndi ndondomekozi zimawonjezera kusintha kwakukulu, kusintha, ndipo sitikuyembekezera kuti zidzatheka, zonse, pamene nkhondo yapachiweniweni yolimbana ndi amisala olamulira adziko lamanja amatanthauzira magawo a zikhumbo zovomerezeka zandale. Koma timayembekezera kuti azikambitsirana moona mtima.
Sitinalekerere pa 1.5 ° C.
[I] Lipoti la IPCC kwenikweni likufuna kuchepetsa pafupifupi 45% pansi pa chiyambi cha 2010 ndi 2030. Koma linasindikizidwa mu 2018 ndipo moyo wapita. 45% idazunguliridwa pafupipafupi mpaka 50% mliri usanachitike. Idzaterobe.
ZNetwork imalandira ndalama kudzera mu kuwolowa manja kwa owerenga ake.
Ndalama