WASHINGTON, Jan 12 (IPS) – Okwu Onye isi ala George W. Bush na Iraq n'abalị Wenezde adịchaghị gbasara Iraq karịa gbasara agbataobi ọwụwa anyanwụ ya, Iran. Ọ dị ntakịrị ihe ọhụrụ gbasara atụmatụ US na Iraq, mana na Iran, onye isi ala kọwapụtara atụmatụ nke yiri ka ọ bụ iji tinye Iran n'agha na US.
Ọ bụ ezie na Washington na-eche ma onye isi ala ọ ga-anabata ma ọ bụ jụ ndụmọdụ Iraq Study Group, ole na ole buru amụma na ọ ga-eme ihe megidere ihe James Baker na Lee Hamilton dụrụ ọdụ. Kama ịwepụ ndị agha na Iraq, Bush nyere iwu ka a kwalite ọkwa ndị agha. Kama ịgwa Iran na Syria okwu, Bush kwusara agha na steeti ndị a. Ma kama ịmanye Israel ka ọ dozie esemokwu Israel-Palestine, nchịkwa ahụ na-eme ka agha otu dị na Gaza site n'ịkwado na ọzụzụ Fatah megide Hamas.
Ọtụtụ mmepe na nkwupụta na nso nso a na-egosi na nchịkwa ahụ na-elegide anya agha na Iran. Na Wenezde, Bush boro ndị ọchịchị Tehran ebubo kachasị njọ, na-ebo ebubo na ndị ụkọchukwu "na-enye nkwado ihe onwunwe maka mwakpo ndị agha America."
Mgbe ọ na-ekwe nkwa "ịkụghasị mwakpo ndị agha anyị" na "ịchọ na ibibi netwọk ndị na-enye ngwá agha dị elu na ọzụzụ nye ndị iro anyị na Iraq," o kwughị okwu agha na ego nye ndị agha Sunni na al Qaeda si Jordan. na Saudi Arabia.
Kama, o kpugheere ibuga ndị ọzọ na-ebu ibu na Ọwara Persian na nke usoro nchebe ngwa ọgụ nke Patriot na Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) steeti iji chebe ndị mmekọ US. Uru nke nzọụkwụ a maka idozi ime ihe ike na Iraq ka bụ ihe omimi. Ma ndị nnupụisi Sunni ma ndị agha Shia enweghị ngwa agha ballistic. Ma ọ bụrụ na ha emee, ọ nweghị ihe na-egosi na ha ga-elekwasị anya na steeti GCC - Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia na United Arab Emirates.
Enwere ike ịkọwa ntinye nke ogbunigwe Patriot, Otú ọ dị, n'ihi atụmatụ US ịwakpo Iran. N'afọ gara aga, Tehran gosipụtara steeti GCC n'asụsụ na-enweghị isi na ọ ga-emegwara ndị Sheikhdom Arab ma ọ bụrụ na US wakpo Iran site na iji ntọala na mba GCC. N'iburu n'uche adịghị ike nke ndị agha ikuku nke Iran, ngwa agha Tehran nwere ike ịbụ ogbunigwe ballistic - otu ngwa agha ahụ e mere ndị Patriots iji nye ọta megide. Nzọụkwụ mbụ ị ga-ebuso Iran agha ga-abụ inye mba GCC nchebe megide mmegwara ndị Iran nwere ike ime.
Ikekwe ihe kacha egosi na agha na Iran na-abịa bụ njide Washington jichiri ndị nnọchi anya mba Iran na Iraq nso nso a. N'ihe dị ka oge nke President Bush na-ekwu okwu, US Special Forces - n'ụzọ doro anya imebi iwu diplomatic nke na-echetara njide nke ụmụ akwụkwọ Iran na-ejide ndị nnọchiteanya US na Tehran na 1979 - wakporo consulate Iran na Erbil na ugwu Iraq, na-ejide ndị nnọchiteanya ise. Mgbe e mesịrị n'ụbọchị ahụ, ndị agha US fọrọ nke nta ka ha na ndị agha Kurdish peshmerga ọgụ ọgụ mgbe ha na-achọ ijide ọtụtụ ndị Iran n'ọdụ ụgbọ elu Arbil.
Ọrụ ndị a kpasuru gọọmentị Iraq iwe, gụnyere ihe ndị Kurdish nke na-akwado Washington siri ike. "Ihe merenụ… bụ ihe na-akpasu iwe n'ihi na enweela ụlọ ọrụ mmekọrịta ndị Iran ebe ahụ kemgbe ọtụtụ afọ ma na-enye ụmụ amaala ọrụ," Mịnịsta na-ahụ maka mba ofesi Iraq Hoshiyar Zebari, onye bụ Kurd n'onwe ya, gwara Al-Arabiya telivishọn.
Ọchịchị Bush akwadola mwakpo ahụ - gụnyere njide nke ọtụtụ ndị ọrụ Iran na Disemba afọ gara aga - n'ihi na a na-anakọta ihe akaebe na itinye aka na Iran na imebi Iraq. Mana ọ bụrụ na ebumnuche a bụ nchịkọta ọgụgụ isi, ọ ga-abụ ihe ezi uche dị na ya ịmalite ịwakpo ụlọ ọrụ ndị Iran n'otu oge kama usoro mmụba ugbu a na-enye ndị Iran aka na ntị na ohere ibibi ihe akaebe ọ bụla ha nwere ike ma ọ bụ enweghị ike ịnwe.
Mwakpo na njide ndị na-arịwanye elu nwere ike ịbụ iji kpasuo ndị Iran aka ịzaghachi, nke n'aka nke ya ga-eme ka ọnọdụ ahụ dịkwuo elu ma nye ọchịchị Bush ihe mgbagwoju anya ọ chọrọ iji merie nkwado Congressional maka agha na Iran. Kama ime ka ikpe ahụ maka agha ebu ụzọ na Iran maka ngwa agha nke mbibi - atụmatụ US gbasoro Iraq nke na-atụghị anya na ọ ga-aga nke ọma na Iran - usoro ihe omume na mkpasu iwe na atụmatụ mkpasu iwe ga-eme ka ọ dị ka à ga-asị na ọ bụ agha a manyere na US
Ndị omebe iwu Republican na Democratic a ma ama yiri ka ha ewerela atụmatụ agha nke onye isi ala. N'okwu ikpe Tọzdee na Kọmitii Mmekọrịta Mba Ọzọ nke Sineti, Senator Chuck Hagel nke Nebraska mere ka ya na atụmatụ nchịkwa Richard Nixon nke ịgha ụgha nye ndị US na ịgbasa agha Vietnam na Cambodia. "[M] mgbe ị malitere ime ụdị iwu onye isi ala na-ekwu maka ya ebe a," ka ọ dọrọ odeakwụkwọ nke steeti Condoleezza Rice aka ná ntị, "ọ dị nnọọ ize ndụ."
Senator Joseph Biden nke Delaware gbakwụnyere na agha na Iran ga-achọ ikike ọgbakọ. N'agbanyeghị nke ahụ, Congress ka ga-ebute nnukwu ihe ịma aka n'atụmatụ agha Bush karịa ijide mkparịta ụka kpụ ọkụ n'ọnụ n'etiti ndị Senators nwere nkụda mmụọ na ndị ọrụ nchịkwa nchebe.
Nkwagharị ọzọ nwere ike ịbụ nke Iran. Ọ ga-abụrịrị na Tehran sụrụ ọnyà ahụ ma ọ ga-anọdụ ala maka ugbu a ma napụ ọchịchị Bush ihe nrịbama maka mmụba. Mana mkpasu iwe na-aga n'ihu sitere na US site na mwakpo ndị ọzọ nke consulates na ụlọ ọrụ ndị Iran nwere ike bute nzaghachi ebumnobi ma ọ bụ n'amaghị ama, mgbe nke ahụ ịrị elu na agha nwere ike bụrụ eziokwu. Mgbe ụfọdụ Iran anaghị egosipụta ịdọ aka ná ntị dị mkpa iji zere ịzaghachi mkpasu iwe.
Ọ bụ ezie na nchịkwa nchịkwa nwere ike ịbụ na nrụgide na-egbu egbu na Iran ga-amanye Tehran imebi, okwukwe na Iran na-enye ohere ga-eme ka mgbanwe dị na US Iran-atumatu na-esote na-adịghị adị n'ihi ọchịchị Bush gara aga rejections nke Iranian enye.
Mana Tehran nwere ike gbanwee ọnọdụ ndọrọ ndọrọ ọchịchị wee gbanarị ọnyà agha Bush site na ịmaliteghachi mkparịta ụka na European Union iji lebara okwu mpaghara yana nsogbu nuklia. Ndidi na okwukwe nke Europe na Iran emebila nke ukwuu n'ihi ọdịda Tehran enweghị ekele maka mbọ Javier Solana, onye nnọchi anya dị elu maka amụma mba ofesi na nchekwa nke European Union, iji kparịta nkwekọrịta na nkwusioru ịba ụba nke ọdịda ikpeazụ.
N'agbanyeghị nke ahụ, EU ghọtara na ebili mmiri nke agha mpaghara na Middle East ga-erute Europe ngwa ngwa karịa ka ha rutere n'ikpere mmiri US. Ma Europe ga-ebili maka ụkpụrụ ya na nchekwa ya na megide atụmatụ agha Bush, Otú ọ dị, ka ga-ahụ. N'ebe a, onyinye Tehran nwere ike ọ gaghị adị mkpa.
* Dr. Trita Parsi bụ onye edemede nke "Treacherous Triangle - Nzuzo Nzuzo nke Israel, Iran na United States" (Yale University Press, 2007).
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