Nws tsis yog Thawj Tswj Hwm txo hwj chim. Nws tsis muab txoj kev. Muaj cov lus qhia, tau kawg - xaus rau txoj cai xwm txheej kub ntxhov, "kev hloov kho" - tab sis thaum nws hais nag hmo, sim ua kom muaj kev kub ntxhov uas tau pom ntau dua 60 tus neeg raug tua nyob rau ob peb lis piam thiab hem nws lub chaw haujlwm, Thawj Tswj Hwm Bashar al-Assad. ntawm Syria tsis tau muab lub tswv yim ntawm ib tug txiv neej ntawm kev khiav.

 

Puas yog Libya uas tau muab nws "oomph" mus ntxiv, kev txhawb nqa kom sawv thiab hais tias "kev hloov pauv tsis yog qhov teeb meem raws caij nyoog" - kev txhais lus tseeb ntawm nws txoj kev ntseeg tias Syria tsis tas yuav ua raws li Middle East kiv puag ncig? Txawm li cas los xij, Baath tog yuav tawm tsam. Assad tseem yog Thawj Tswj Hwm ntawm Syria. Tsis hloov.

 

Zoo, tau kawg, peb yuav pom. Muammar Gaddafi ntawm Libya tsis yog ib qho piv txwv zoo ua raws li lub sijhawm xav tau. Hnub Friday yog lwm hnub, hnub ua kev nco txog thiab sim thiab nug. Yog tias nws tuaj yeem dhau tag kis yam tsis muaj kev tua ntxiv hauv Deraa thiab Latakia, Assad yuav ua rau nws. Nws tseem hluas, nws tus poj niam - tsis ncaj ncees lawm los ntawm cov neeg ntxub Syria - yog ib qho khoom muaj txiaj ntsig zoo rau nws, thiab nws txoj cai tau txwv qhov kev phem tshaj ntawm nws txiv, Hafez. Tab sis - thiab nws yog qhov loj "tab sis" - kev tsim txom txuas ntxiv mus, kev tsis ncaj ncees ntawm mukhabarat kev pabcuam kev nyab xeeb txuas ntxiv mus, kev ywj pheej hauv Syria yog qhov nyuaj nrhiav tau zoo li lub oasis hauv suab puam, thiab Syrian parliament tseem nyob, hauv cov lus ntawm Al Jazeera tus kws tshuaj ntsuam Marwan Beshara, "kev txhawb nqa circus".

 

Tseem muaj ntau "tab sis" hauv Syria. Nws yog ib lub tebchaws nyuaj, nyuaj, tsis muaj txoj hauv kev rau kev hais lus dawb uas muaj nyob hauv tebchaws Iziv, kom paub tseeb, tab sis yog qhov chaw ntawm Arab haiv neeg. Tsis yog vim tsis muaj dab tsi ua Syrians qw Um al Arabiya Wahida ("niam ntawm ib lub tebchaws Arab"). Tsis yog vim tsis muaj dab tsi ua Syrians nco ntsoov tias lawv thiab lawv ib leeg tawm tsam Sykes-Picot daim ntawv cog lus uas tau faib thaj tsam ntawm Fabkis thiab Tebchaws Askiv xyoo 1916 nrog kev quab yuam ntawm caj npab, lawv cov tub rog caij nees mowed los ntawm Fabkis tso tsheb hlau luam ntawm kev sib ntaus sib tua ntawm Maysaloon, lawv tus huab tais. muab lub monarchy ntawm Iraq raws li ib tug consolation nqi zog los ntawm Winston Churchill.

 

Qhov no tsis ua pov thawj rau Bashar txoj kev tswj hwm tus kheej. Tab sis nws hais ib yam dab tsi txog nws. Syrians tsis ua raws li txoj cai. Syrians tsis ua raws li lwm cov Arabs zoo li yaj. Lawv tau sib ntaus sib tua hnyav dua li lwm tus rau Palestinian-Israeli kev thaj yeeb nyab xeeb - uas Assad tau piav qhia tias "tsaug zog" nag hmo, qhov kev tsis sib haum xeeb yog "kev sim rau lub tebchaws" es tsis yog kev sim rau Thawj Tswj Hwm. Qhov tseeb, thaj av Hauran - Deraa yog nyob rau hauv Hauran, qhov xwm txheej ntawm kev ntshai ntawm tsoomfwv kev tua neeg lub lim tiam dhau los - yeej ib txwm tau tawm tsam, txawm tias nyob hauv Fabkis txoj cai. Tab sis Bashar al-Assad puas tuaj yeem tuav nws lub tebchaws ua ke?

 

Nws tau tswj hwm, nrog cov neeg tsawg Alawite lub zog (rau qhov nyeem Shia), coj cov Sunni Muslim feem ntau ntawm Syria mus rau hauv kev lag luam. Tseeb tiag, Sunnis yog kev lag luam ntawm Syria, cov neeg tseem ceeb uas tsis muaj kev txaus siab rau kev tsis sib haum xeeb, kev tsis sib haum xeeb lossis kev tawm tsam txawv teb chaws. Nws yog qhov khib uas Assad tham txog txawv teb chaws "kev koom tes" nag hmo. Nws yog ib lo lus qub uas ua rau nws tsis muaj credit; txawv teb chaws "conspiracies" yeej ib txwm tau pom thaum dictators xav tias tsis muaj kev nyab xeeb. Tseem Damascus tau tawm tsam los ntawm Israeli cov neeg sawv cev thiab Saddamist cov neeg sawv cev thiab cov neeg saib xyuas sab xis ntawm Turkish dhau 40 xyoo dhau los. Nws muaj ib tug resonance, qhov no tham ntawm lub moamarer - lub "ploj" - uas ua rau Syrians mus rau hauv patriots es tsis muaj kev ywj pheej fighters.

 

Tau kawg, muaj ntau yam tsis raug rau Syria - thiab Bashar al-Assad tej zaum yuav tau thawb nws txoj hmoo nag hmo, tsis tshaj tawm "kev hloov kho" thiab kev ywj pheej uas Syrians xav tau ntawm nws. Hloov chaw "Vajtswv, Syria thiab Bashar", nws yog "Vajtswv, Syria thiab kuv haiv neeg" - tab sis puas txaus? Nws yuav tsis ua kev hloov kho raws li kev ntxhov siab - "kev hloov pauv", los ntawm txoj kev, txhais tau tias kev ywj pheej - tab sis nws muaj tseeb raug kev nyuaj siab thaum tsoomfwv snipers tau tua cov neeg dawb huv hauv txoj kev ntawm Syria lub nroog. Tej zaum nws yuav tsis nyob rau hauv lub siab xav rau concessions. Tab sis yog Syria tsis xav tau cov no?

 

Nws txoj kev lag luam ntab ze ze rau kev lag luam - nws tau txiav txim los ntawm Swedish diplomatic corps kom tsis txhob cuam tshuam los ntawm sab hnub poob kev lag luam kev puas tsuaj vim tias nws tsis muaj tiag tiag - thiab nws cov haiv neeg Kurdish nyob rau sab qaum teb yog nyob rau hauv lub xeev ntawm ib nrab kev tawm tsam. Tab sis Assad muaj ob tug phooj ywg uas muab nws lub hwj chim: cov Hizbollah hauv Lebanon thiab Islamic koom pheej ntawm Iran. Yog tias cov neeg Israel xav tau kev thaj yeeb nyab xeeb hauv Lebanon, lawv xav tau Assad, thiab yog tias Assad xav tswj hwm nws lub zog hauv cheeb tsam, nws xav tau Iran. Syria yog lub rooj vag Arab uas Iran tuaj yeem taug kev. Iran yog lub rooj vag Muslim uas Assad - thiab nco ntsoov, nws yog Alawite thiab yog li ntawd ib tug Shia - taug kev.

 

Nws yog ib qho yooj yim heev rau Madame Clinton los cem Syria rau kev tua nws tus kheej - ib lo lus nws tsis, ntawm chav kawm, siv rau Bahrain - tab sis cov neeg Asmeskas xav tau Syria kom tshem tawm lawv cov tub rog kawg ntawm Iraq. Nws kuj yog ib qho yooj yim los hloov Syria cov teeb meem mus rau hauv sectarianism. Nikolaos Van Dam, tus kws tshaj lij Dutch tus kws tshaj lij, tau sau ib phau ntawv zoo hais tias kev tawm tsam rau lub hwj chim hauv Syria nrog cov Alawites thiab tias cov haiv neeg tsawg no tswj hwm lub tebchaws.

 

Txawm li cas los xij Syria yeej ib txwm nyob hauv lub xeev tsis sib haum xeeb, thiab nws tau ua raws li Sab Hnub Poob qhov kev thov rau kev sib koom tes kev ruaj ntseg - txog thaum cov neeg Amelikas tuaj hla ciam teb rau Syria thiab tua tus neeg saib xyuas kev ruaj ntseg hauv Syria. Yog li nws tau ua raws li Teb Chaws Asmeskas tau xa ib tus neeg pluag Canadian mus rau Damascus - "rov hais dua", hauv cov kab lus nrov - kom raug tsim txom thiab khaws cia rau hauv cov kav dej kom txog thaum cov neeg Asmeskas pom tias nws tsis muaj txim thiab ua rau nws ua rau nws rov qab mus rau Toronto.

 

Cov no, tsis tas yuav hais, tsis yog cov teeb meem uas yuav tau tham hauv xov xwm hauv TV lossis los ntawm US Secretary of State - uas txhawj xeeb txog cov neeg dawb huv ntawm Libya uas nws cov tub rog huab cua tau foob pob Gaddafi tab sis muaj kev txhawj xeeb me ntsis. hais txog cov neeg dawb huv ntawm Syria uas nws cov tub rog huab cua yuav tsis raug foob rau Syria.

 

Syria yuav tsum tau rov ua dua tshiab. Nws xav tau kev xaus rau kev cai lij choj xwm txheej ceev, kev tshaj xov xwm dawb thiab kev txiav txim plaub ntug ncaj ncees thiab kev tso tawm cov neeg raug kaw nom tswv thiab - ntawm no cia nws hais - xaus rau kev sib cav hauv Lebanon. Tus lej ntawd ntawm 60 tus neeg tuag, qhov kev kwv yees ntawm Human Rights Watch, qhov tseeb yuav ntau dua. Tag kis, Thawj Tswj Hwm Bashar al-Assad yuav qhia peb txog nws lub neej yav tom ntej rau Syria. Nws zoo dua yuav zoo.

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