ʻAʻole e like me 2004, ʻaʻole e hoʻopuʻu ana nā pāpaho honua a puni ka koho pelekikena o Afghan e hiki mai ana i hoʻonohonoho ʻia no ʻAukake 20. ʻO Hamid karzai, ka mea hoʻokūkū mua ma waena o nā moho 41, ʻaʻole i hāʻawi i ke aloha media āna i mālama ai i ka manawa i hala me kāna telegenic Chappan (ʻaʻahu ʻōmaʻomaʻo), Karakul (kapi) a me nā mākau ʻōlelo Pelekania.
ʻO ka mea e ʻoi aku ka maikaʻi, ʻo kāna koho ʻana i ka hoa pelekikena hope pelekikena, ʻo Tajik-warlord Qasim Faheem, ua hōʻike ʻia i ka hoʻonāukiuki ʻole ʻia e ka mikiona United Nations ma Afghanistan. Ua noi ke poʻo o ka misionari, ʻo Kai Edie, iā Karzai e koho i kekahi.
ʻO Qasim Faheem, e like me ka Brad Adams, ka luna o Asia o New York-based watchdog Human Rights Watch, ʻo ia "kekahi o nā mea kaua kaulana loa ma ka ʻāina, me ke koko o nā Afghans he nui." (Reuters, Mei 5)
ʻO Karim Khalili, ka hope peresidena e noho ana a me ka hoa holo o Karzai no ka slot o ka hope pelekikena ʻelua, he koa kaulana like ʻole. ʻO Hazara Ethnically, ua kokoke ʻo Khalili iā Tehran akā ua wikiwiki ʻo ia e hoʻokaʻawale iā ia iho mai Ayotollahs i ka wā post-Taliban. No laila, uku ʻia me ka slot o ka hope-peresidena.
No ka hōʻoia ʻana i kona koho hou ʻana, ua hui ʻo Karzai me nā aliʻi kaua mai kēlā me kēia lāhui ma Afghanistan. I ka Uzbek-populated, ke hilinaʻi nei ʻo Karzai iā Rashid Dostum. Ma Helmand, ʻo Sher Mohammad Akhundzada ka lāʻau lapaʻau e hōʻoia i ka lanakila o Karzai. Na ke koa Pashtun ʻo Gul Agha Sherzai e hoʻopaʻa iā Kandahar. Ua kākoʻo pū ʻo Rasul Sayyaf iā Karzai. ʻAʻole pono kekahi e hoʻohewa iā Hamid Karzai. Ua hilinaʻi ʻo Wakinekona i ka poʻe like no ka lawe ʻana mai i ka "paʻa a me ke aupuni democracy" i ka wā post-Taliban.
Auwe! ʻO ka hoʻokūkū koʻikoʻi o Karzai, ʻo ke Kuhina ʻē aʻe ʻo Abdullah Abdullah, ʻaʻole ia he koho no ka hoʻohanohano ʻana ma ke ʻano he keiki poʻo no ke aupuni democracy ʻoiai ʻo kāna ʻōlelo hoʻolaha ("Change"), kahi hoʻāʻo e hoʻokalakupua iā Obama. He helehelena kanaka no nā hana ʻino a Northern Alliance, ʻaʻole ʻo Abdullah Abdullah he koa. ʻO ia ko lākou waha ʻōlelo. E like me Hamid Karzai. No laila, ʻaʻohe mea kupanaha inā ʻimi ʻo New York Times i kahi puʻuhonua ma Ashraf Ghani, "he techocrat", nāna "Shakes Up the Afghan Campaign": "He Kuhina Waiwai mua me kahi ʻano ma ka ʻAmelika Hui Pū ʻIa a ma ka World Bank, Mr. Ghani, 60 makahiki. , e ʻōlelo ana ʻo ia e hoʻāʻo nei e hoʻololi i ka politika ma Afghanistan. Ke hoʻohana nei ʻo ia i ka televise a me ka lekiō, nā hāʻawi pūnaewele a me nā haumāna manawaleʻa, a me nā pūnaewele kuʻuna e like me nā ʻaha hoʻomana, ke ʻimi nei ʻo ia e launa aku i nā ʻōpio, nā wahine a me ka poʻe ʻilihune, a hana i ka mea i manaʻo ʻole ʻia: lanakila ʻo Pelekikena Hamid Karzai. (NYT, ʻAukake 13)
ʻAʻole i manaʻo ʻia ka mea i manaʻo ʻole ʻia inā hele kekahi i nā koho balota i alakaʻi ʻia e International Republican Institute a me Glevum Associates. Loaʻa nā koho balota ʻelua he 3-4 pakeneka wale nō o Afghans e makemake e koho balota no ka limahana o ka World Bank ʻoiai nā lawelawe i hoʻolimalima ʻia mai ka mea hoʻolālā politika ʻo James Carville a me "Change" ma ke ʻano he slogan nui e like me Abdullah Abdullah.
Wahi a kēia mau koho balota, ua hoʻonoho ʻia ʻo Ghani ma kahi mamao ʻehā ma hope o Ramzan Bashardost.
ʻO Hazara, ʻo Bashardost wale nō paha ka moho i mahalo nui ʻia ma waena o Afghans no kona kūpaʻa. ʻO ke kuhina mua, ʻo Bashardost ka mea koʻikoʻi i ka hana palaho ʻo Karzai. Ua hoʻokiʻekiʻe mau ʻo ia i kona leo no ka leo ʻole. Eia naʻe, me ka ʻole o ka pū a me ke kālā lāʻau lapaʻau, ʻaʻohe ona manawa. Eia kekahi, hoʻopau ʻia ka ikaika o kona ʻano e kona nāwaliwali naʻauao. ʻO kāna hoʻolaha hou, i ka wā o ka hoʻopaʻapaʻa ʻana ma Ariana TV, e hana ʻo ia i 5000-ikaika commando pūʻulu, e pepehi i ka pelekikena o Pakistan inā hana ʻino ʻo ISI i ka poʻe mahuka Afghan i lilo i mea hoʻohenehene. ʻO kāna hoʻohiki ʻana e hoʻohui a hoʻohui iā Mashad (i Iran), Panjdeh ma Turkmenistan a me nā Durand āpau (mau palena ma waena o Afghanistan, Pakistan) i hoʻi i Afghanistan ua hana ʻino wale iā ia. (urozgan.org)
ʻO ke koena o nā moho (ʻekolu o 41 i kēia manawa ua haʻalele i kā lākou mau noi no Karzai a ʻo kekahi no Abdullah) e komo pū me nā ʻano mea ʻino surrealist a me nā clown hoʻokipa ʻole. Aia ʻo Shahnawaz Tanai nāna i hoʻokuʻu iā Dr Naguib mai ka mana i ka makahiki 1992, i kona kumakaia ʻana iā Kabul a hui pū me Mujahideen. I kekahi manawa ma ke Kuhina o ka Puʻukū ma lalo o Dr Naguib, he kākoʻo ikaika ʻo ia i ka Soviet-intervention. I kēia manawa ua haʻi ʻo ia ʻaʻohe ʻokoʻa ma waena o NATO a me Red Army (BBC Persian Aug 9).
I ka manawa he lālā o Parcham faction a me ka ʻelele i ka Soviet-era Moscow, holo pū ʻo Habib Mangal. ʻO ka luna alakaʻi Taliban ma mua, ʻo Mullah Rocketi (he MP), kahi inoa i loaʻa iā ia i ka wā o "Jihad" e kūʻē i nā Soviets no kona aloha iā Rockets, ʻaʻole ʻike hou ʻo ia i ka democracy i kūlike ʻole me Islam. No laila, ke kau nei kona mau maka i ka pelesidena palatial i kiaʻi lili ʻia e nā pūʻali koa US.
ʻAʻole pono e hopohopo ka poʻe nūpepa e ʻimi nei i nā moʻolelo ʻoluʻolu. No ko lākou hōʻoluʻolu, aia nō ʻelua mau moho wahine: ʻo Frozan Fana lāua ʻo Shehla Ata.
Ua ʻōlelo ʻo Shehla Ata, he lālā o ka pāremata o Afghan: "ʻO Taliban nā keiki kāne aʻu." (BBC Persian Aug. 8)
ʻAʻole e hoʻopau ʻia, haʻi ʻo Frozan Fana: "ʻO Taliban koʻu mau kaikunāne". (BBC Persian ʻAukake 13)
ʻOiai ʻaʻole i hoʻolaha ke koena o nā moho i ko lākou pilina me Taliban - ʻoiai he nui nā hoahānau Jihadi - akā naʻe, ʻo kēlā me kēia moho ʻē aʻe, ua hoʻohiki ʻoiaʻiʻo e kamaʻilio me Taliban.
ʻO Hamid Karzai ke makemake nei e loaʻa iā Loya Jirga (Grand Assembly of the Tribal Chiefs) e kono iā Taliban e kamaʻilio. (BBC Pashto, ʻAukake 13)
ʻO Abdullah Abdullah, ma ka lanakila ʻana i nā koho balota "makemake e hana i ka hoʻolauleʻa me Taliban". (New York Times, Iulai 23)
ʻO kekahi moho, ʻo Sarwar Ahmadzai, i ka wā o ka hoʻopaʻapaʻa TV (ʻAukake 8) ua hele i kahi ʻoi aku i kāna noi e hoʻowalewale i ka poʻe koho a haʻi ʻo ia ʻaʻole ʻo Mullah Omar wale nō ʻo Gulbadin Hekmatyar a me Jalal ud Din Haqqani he mau kaikunāne o nā Afghans āpau. He Bashardost huhu ua pane ʻo ia ʻaʻole ʻo ia e ʻae i ka poʻe hewa e like me kēia e lilo i ʻāpana o kāna aupuni. Ua lele ʻo Ahmadzai ” me ka huhū mai kona noho, lulu i kona lima, a hoʻolei i kāna peni puna iā Kauka Bashardost me ka hoʻōho ʻana he ʻohana ʻo ia me Mullah Omar, Hekmatyar, a me Haqqani… . (Kabulpress.org)
ʻO ka mea maʻamau, ʻo ka poʻe a pau e hoʻohiki nei e hoʻopiʻi iā Taliban e noho mālie i ka noho ʻana o US. ʻOiai ʻo Latif Pedram, Ramzan Bashardost, Shanawaz Tanai a ʻo Ashraf Ghani hoʻi i hoʻohiki e pani iā Bagram, ʻo Afghan version o Abu Gharaib, akā ʻaʻole pilikia ka noho ʻana o ʻAmelika i ka hoʻopaʻapaʻa koho. ʻO nā pilikia nui ka palaho a me ka palekana (a i ʻole ka nele). ʻO ka nele o ka palekana ʻaʻole wale ia i ka ulu ʻana o ka pūʻali Taliban. ʻOi aku ka makaʻu o nā Afghans Defenseless i nā aliʻi kaua (Northern Alliance) ma mua o Taliban. ʻO ke kipi ʻo Taliban, ʻaʻohe kānalua, he pōʻino palekana akā ʻoi aku ka nui (pepehi kanaka, hoʻopaʻa ʻia, kidnappings) i hana ʻia e nā poʻe kaua i kākoʻo ʻia e Nato ua kōkua like i ka pōʻino o ke kānāwai a me ke kūlana. Ma waho aʻe o ka hoʻomāinoino ʻana i nā pono kanaka, ua ʻaihue kēia mau aliʻi kaua i ka waiwai, e like me ka Family Karzai, Afghanistan.
Mai Gen. Stanley McChrystal, ke poʻokela o ka pūʻali koa US ma Afghanistan, i nā mea kaua kaua e like me ka mea kākau moʻolelo ʻo Thomas Friedman, i kēia mau lā ua hoʻopiʻi nei i ka "palapala i ka hoʻokele Karzai" no ka kipi Taliban.
ʻO ke kālā kōkua e hiki aku ana iā Kabul e hoʻopaʻa ʻia e nā kuhina. Hāʻawi ke kālepa lāʻau i kahi manawa hou e loaʻa ai ke kālā wikiwiki inā ʻaʻole lawa nā ʻoihana ʻoihana, kickbacks a me nā kīpē e hoʻomāʻona i ke kuko o nā hui aliʻi i ke kālā.
ʻElima mau makahiki i hala aku nei, ua kū ʻo Afghan ma waho o nā keʻena koho balota me ka manaʻolana o ka palekana. Ua kumakaia nui ko lakou manao. Hiki i nā ʻohana a i ʻole ka lāhui (a i ʻole nā hakakā), ke kālā a me nā pū ke hāʻawi i nā paparazzi politika i nā kiʻi kiʻi ma ʻAukake 20: nā poʻe koho e paʻa ana i nā manamana lima poni. E haʻahaʻa ka huli ʻana a inā hele kekahi i nā koho manaʻo i ʻōlelo ʻia ma luna nei, ʻo Karzai (loaʻa paha he 36% mau balota e like me ka Glevum poll) e hoʻopaʻa ʻia i kahi run-off. E ʻike ʻia inā e hoʻokō ʻo karzai i ka hiʻohiʻona o kāna hoa Iranian a ʻaʻole paha, ʻo nā hoa paio e like me Ashraf Ghani, akā naʻe, ua hoʻohana i ka ʻōmaʻomaʻo kala no kā lākou hoʻolaha. Pono ma ka hihia!
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