He ōlaʻi kālaiʻāina ma mua o ke koho balota he hanana maʻamau, akā ʻaʻole ʻike ʻia. He ōlaʻi lua i loko o ia manawa he kakaikahi. Akā ʻo ke ōlaʻi ʻekolu ma mua o ke koho balota, he manawa pōkole ma hope o nā mea mua ʻelua - i kēia manawa, weliweli maoli kēlā.
ʻAe, ua hiki mai. ʻO ke koho ʻana iā Amir Peretz i alakaʻi no ka Party Labor, ua hoʻololi i ka ʻāina politika o ka ʻIseraʻela. ʻO ia ka mea i koi iā Ariel Sharon e hana i ka pāʻina Kadima, ka "Big Bang" i hoʻololi hou i ka ʻāina. I kēia manawa, me ka hāʻule ʻana o Sharon, ua loli hou ka ʻāina - a i kēia manawa ʻaʻole i ʻike ʻia.
He kanawalu lā ma mua o ke koho balota, hoʻomaka hou ka hoʻokūkū mai ka hoʻomaka ʻana. He aha ka hopena iā Kadima? He aha ke ʻano alakaʻi ʻo Ehud Olmert? Pehea e hana ai na aoao i ke koho balota? ʻO wai ke Kuhina Nui? He aha ke ʻano o ka hui ʻana?
Nīnau koʻikoʻi. ʻAʻohe o lākou i pane maopopo i kēia manawa.
Ua hānau ʻia ʻo Kadima ma ke ʻano he pāʻina pilikino a Sharon. ʻO ia ke kāpili i hoʻopaʻa pū i ka ʻaoʻao ʻākau loa ʻo Tsachi Hanegbi a me ka peacenik Shimon Peres i haʻi ponoʻī iā ia iho, ka mea kaua Shaul Mofaz a me ke alakaʻi hui ʻoihana hema hema ʻo Haim Ramon.
ʻO ka manaʻo mua ma hope o ka hahau nui ʻana o Sharon: ʻo ia ka hopena o Kadima. Me ka ʻole o Sharon, e hāʻule ka pūʻolo holoʻokoʻa. ʻO kahi pūʻulu pōʻino wale nō o nā keiki makua ʻole e koe, kahi mea e like me kahi kahua hoʻokele politika.
Akā ʻaʻole maopopo loa kēlā. ʻOiaʻiʻo, inā i komo kekahi i kēia papahana no kona aloha iā Sharon a makemake paha ʻo ia i Makua Nui, makemake paha ʻo ia e hoʻi i kona home kahiko. Akā inā ua loaʻa i kekahi i kahi home hou ma Kadima, e noho ʻo ia.
ʻO wai? ʻO ka mea mua, ʻo ka poʻe opportunists i loaʻa ʻole ka manawa e kāʻili ai i kahi noho Knesset i kekahi ala ʻē aʻe.
Akā ʻaʻole lākou wale nō. ʻOiaʻiʻo, ʻaʻohe papahana maoli ʻo Kadima, ʻaʻohe manaʻo. Akā ʻo kona mau manaʻo ʻino a me nā manaʻo ʻike ʻole hiki ke lilo i mea pani no kahi papahana. He nui ka poʻe e hoʻokipa i ka ʻiʻini nui no ka maluhia - ʻaʻole ka maluhia me nā contours akaka, me ke kumukūʻai maopopo, e pili ana i kahi kuʻikahi me ka Palestinians, akā he ʻano abstract "peace". Hele pū kēia me ka ʻōlelo ʻaʻole hiki i kekahi ke hilinaʻi i ka poʻe ʻArabia, ʻaʻole hiki iā ʻoe ke kuʻikahi me nā ʻArabia. ʻO kēia racism kumu, he hopena maoli paha o 120 mau makahiki o ke kaua a me ka hakakā, e hōʻike ana iā ia iho i ka manaʻo e hoʻoikaika ʻia ka Iudaio o ka ʻIseraʻela a e mālama ʻia nā kuʻuna Iudaio, he manaʻo paʻakikī, akā naʻe ikaika.
ʻO ka hui pū ʻana he hui kaulana kēia, maʻamau i kahi hapa nui o ka lehulehu Israeli-Jewish. Hiki iā ia ke lilo i mea ʻokoʻa kūpono i nā kulekele ʻokoʻa o ka hema a me ka ʻākau - ʻoi aku ka nui o ka poʻe i kānalua nui i nā papahana, nā manaʻo a me nā mea āpau e like me ka hoʻōla mana. ʻO ka slogan paha: ʻoi aku ka maikaʻi, ʻoi aku ka maikaʻi.
A hiki i kēia manawa, ua hilinaʻi ka poʻe Kadima iā Sarona, me ka manaʻo e ʻike ʻo ia i kāna mea e hana ai ke hiki mai ka manawa. Ua maopopo iā lākou he mau hoʻonā kāna - ʻoiai ʻaʻole lākou i ʻike i ke ʻano o ia mau mea - ʻoiaʻiʻo, me ka makemake ʻole e ʻike. Ua ʻike lākou ua ʻike ʻo ia, a ua lawa kēlā. I kēia manawa hiki ke lilo kēia opaqueness i mea pono iā ia iho. ʻO kahi pāʻina ʻaʻohe pane maopopo i kekahi mea hiki ke huki i nā mea āpau.
ʻOiaʻiʻo, e hoʻi hope ka pāʻina i kapa ʻia ʻo Forwards. ʻAʻole hiki i nā noho he 42 i hoʻohiki ʻia iā Sharon e nā koho balota. Aka, ehia ia manawa? Hiki i kekahi ke koho wale, a ʻaʻohe manaʻo nui ka waiwai. ʻO kaʻu manaʻo ponoʻī: ʻaʻole i emi iho ma mua o 15, ʻaʻole ʻoi aku ma mua o 30.
Pono kekahi e kū i ka ʻoiaʻiʻo e haʻalele ana ʻo Sharon i ke kahua politika me ka nele o nā ʻano pilikino a me nā alakaʻi charismatic. No ka maikaʻi a i ʻole ka hewa, e lilo ʻo ʻIseraʻela i ʻāina maʻamau o ke Komohana, me nā hui politika maʻamau i alakaʻi ʻia e nā poʻe kālai'āina maʻamau.
ʻAʻohe mea kālai'āina i ʻoi aku ka maʻamau ma mua o Ehud Olmert; ka mea kālai'āina quintessential, ʻaʻole i lilo i mea ʻē aʻe akā he kālai'āina, he kālai'āina maʻemaʻe a maʻalahi.
ʻAʻole ʻo ia he Makua Nui. ʻAʻole he pūkaua hanohano a ʻaʻole noʻonoʻo nui. ʻAʻohe ona charisma, ʻaʻohe ʻike, ʻaʻohe kūpaʻa kūʻokoʻa. I ka hoʻomaka ʻana o kāna ʻoihana, ua kumakaia koke ʻo ia i kekahi o ka poʻe i makemake iā ia. Akā, he maʻalea, akamai, noʻonoʻo, manaʻo nui a ʻoluʻolu ma ka TV, he kālai'āina, ʻaʻohe kūlana a me nā poses.
Ua pae ʻo ia i kona kūlana i kēia manawa ma muli o ka pōʻino. Ua hāʻawi ʻia ka inoa ʻo "Deputy Prime Minister" iā ia i makana hōʻoluʻolu, no ka mea ʻaʻole hiki iā Sharon ke hoʻokō i kona makemake i ke Kuhina Waiwai ikaika, i hoʻohiki ʻia iā Netanyahu. Ma ke ʻano he pānaʻi, hāʻawi ʻo Sharon iā Olmert i kahi inoa kumu ʻole, no ka mea, ʻo ia wale nō ka mea e alakaʻi ʻo Olmert i nā hālāwai kuhina i nā manawa kakaʻikahi i ka wā ʻo Sharon i waho.
I kēia manawa, hikiwawe, ua lilo ke poʻo inoa ʻole he puna puna maikaʻi loa. Ua hoʻohuli ʻia nā kaʻina hana maʻalahi iā Olmert i mea pani no Sharon no ka manawa pōkole, a ma ka politika, e like me ka mea i ʻike ʻia, ʻaʻohe mea i ʻoi aku ka paʻa ma mua o ka manawa pōkole. ʻO ka mea mua e noho i kahi kūlana he lanakila nui ma mua o nā mea hoʻokūkū āpau.
Hiki i kekahi ke hilinaʻi iā Olmert ʻaʻole e hana i nā mea lapuwale. ʻAʻole e alakaʻi kāna kālā iā ia i loko o kahi lua, e like me ka hana pinepine iā Netanyahu. Ua ʻoi aku ka ʻike a me ka hoʻopunipuni ma mua o Amir Peretz.
Inā mālama ʻo ia i ka lima paʻa a hiki i ke koho balota, hiki iā ia ke lilo i kuhina nui.
Ua like ke kālai'āina o ʻIseraʻela me nā manamana lima ʻekolu: Likud, Kadima a me Labour. ʻEkolu manamana ma kahi o ka lima.
Hiki paha i ka lā koho, loaʻa nā hopena ʻekolu i nā hopena like - ma kahi o 25 mau noho pākahi. Inā ʻoi aku ka maikaʻi o kekahi o lākou ma mua o nā mea ʻē aʻe, e kāhea ʻia kona alakaʻi e kūkulu i ke aupuni e hiki mai ana.
ʻOiai ʻokoʻa like nā ʻekolu, ʻoi aku ka maikaʻi o Kadima, no ka mea, noho ʻo ia ma ka waena. Ke moe ʻekolu ma kahi moe, uhi mau ʻia ka mea waena. I kēlā hihia, hiki iā Olmert ke hoʻokumu i kahi hui pū me Likud a me Labour. ʻAʻohe ona manaʻo noʻonoʻo - hiki iā ia ke lilo i ka hema a i ʻole ka ʻākau, e like me ka mea e pono ai.
He mea paʻakikī ke kūlana iā Amir Peretz. Mai kona koho ʻana, ʻaʻole i haʻalele kāna huakaʻi i ka honua. ʻAʻole waiho ʻia ke kiʻi nui o Sharon no nā mea hakakā. Ua loaʻa iā Sharon ka hana, me ka poʻe media e hula a puni iā ia. I kēia manawa, me Olmert, ʻoi aku ka nui o ka manawa o Peretz - inā ʻaʻole ʻo ia he Olmert lua. He maikaʻi ʻo Vagueness no Olmert, he ʻino ia no Peretz.
Ua koho ʻo Peretz i ka slogan "Ua hiki mai ka manawa!" He slogan pohihihi e ʻōlelo ʻole. Pono ʻo ia e neʻe i mua, e hōʻike i ke alakaʻi, e hōʻike i nā hana wiwo ʻole, e hopu i ka noʻonoʻo, e hōʻoia i ka hiki iā ia ke lawe mai i kahi kipi ma nā mea o ka maluhia a me ka pilikanaka. He paʻakikī ka lanakila, maʻalahi ke hāʻule. Aia iā ia i kēia manawa.
A ʻo kēia mau mea a pau, he ʻoiaʻiʻo nō hoʻi no Netanyahu ma kēlā ʻaoʻao.
Ma hope o ke olai ʻekolu, maikaʻi kēia mau koho balota no ke aupuni demokala. No ka manawa mua i loko o nā makahiki, ʻike ka lehulehu i ʻekolu mau koho maʻalahi, i hōʻike ʻia e nā ʻaoʻao ʻekolu me ʻekolu mau alakaʻi:
- Aia ma ka ʻākau ʻo Likud ma lalo o Netanyahu, e lanakila ana i ka hoʻomau ʻana o ka noho ʻana a me ka hoʻonui ʻana i nā noho, e kau ana i ka ʻāina ma luna o ka maluhia.
- Ma ka waena, ʻo Kadima ma lalo o Ehud Olmert, e hoʻāʻo e hoʻomau i nā ala o Sarona: hoʻohui i nā ʻāina a hoʻoponopono i nā palena hou no ka ʻIseraʻela unilaterally, me ka hoʻohui ʻana i kekahi mau ʻano ʻano ʻole i hoʻopili ʻia me nā slogans e pili ana i ka maluhia.
- Ma ka ʻaoʻao hema, e kāhea ʻo Labour ma lalo o Amir Peretz i nā kūkākūkā kūpono me nā Palestinians, e manaʻo ana e hoʻopau i ka hakakā.
Inā maopopo kēia mau koho, a inā ʻaʻole e hoʻāʻo nā moho e hūnā i nā ʻokoʻa ma waena o lākou, hiki i kēia mau koho balota ke lilo i demokalaka, e hāʻawi ana i ka lehulehu i kahi koho maoli.
Pono ka poʻe koho pāloka e koho iā lākou iho, ma kahi o ka waiho ʻana i ko lākou hopena i ka lima o ka Makua Nui.
Hāʻawi kālā ʻia ʻo ZNetwork ma o ka lokomaikaʻi o kāna poʻe heluhelu.
E Makana mai