ʻAʻole wau he microbiologist, epidemiologist, a i ʻole kekahi mea pili. Akā hiki iaʻu ke heluhelu. A no laila ʻike wau i ka poʻe hilinaʻi, ʻike, naʻauao e ʻōlelo nei ka nui o nā hihia o Covid-Omicron i kēia manawa ke pālua nei i kēlā me kēia lā ʻekolu. ʻO kēia, hōʻike lākou, no ka mea hiki iā ʻoe ke ʻaelike iā Omicron i ka manawa pōkole loa ma nā wahi ʻole. ʻAe, akā ʻaʻole ʻōlelo kēlā mau hōʻike i ke ʻano o ka pālua i kēlā me kēia lā ʻekolu. Inā pololei ka hoʻopiʻi, a ʻike ʻia nā helu i kēia manawa, a laila hoʻokahi heluhelu ʻana i ko mākou hele ʻana i mua, e hoʻomau pālua ʻia nā maʻi hou i kēlā me kēia lā ʻekolu a hiki i ka US wale nō, me nā hihia i kēia manawa ma kahi o kahi miliona. i ka lā, hiki i nā hihia ma kahi o 500 miliona i ka lā ma ka hoʻomaka o Pepeluali. ʻAʻohe wahaheʻe. He ʻoihana koʻikoʻi ka ulu ʻana o Exponential.
Akā, hewa kēlā heluhelu. A ʻaʻole wale ʻo ka heluna kanaka ʻaʻole 500 miliona no laila ua pau ka mea holoʻokoʻa ma kahi o ʻeono lā ma mua. ʻAʻole, ma mua o kēlā, ʻoiai inā e pālua ka helu o ka maʻi i kēlā me kēia lā i kēlā me kēia lā ʻekolu, ʻaʻole ia e hoʻomau i ka pālua i kēlā helu. ʻIke mākou i kēia no ka mea inā pālua ia i kēlā me kēia lā ʻekolu i kēia manawa, i ka hala ʻana o nā lā hou i loaʻa i nā ʻuhane i loaʻa ʻole i ka maʻi i loaʻa i ka maʻi hou e emi nui ana. Eia nō naʻe, inā i kēlā me kēia ʻekolu lā i kēia manawa, ʻo ka loiloi kūpono ʻo Omicron ka maʻi maʻi a hiki i ka poʻe a pau e hele i ka maʻi i kēia pōʻai e loaʻa i ka maʻi i loko o kekahi mau mahina. ʻO ka wā puna, a he nui nā miliona e loaʻa iā ia.
ʻOi aku ka pololei o ka mea i luna, akā inā pololei nā hōʻike o kēia manawa no ka wikiwiki o kēia hoʻolaha ʻana, ʻaʻole ia he hewa loa. Aia naʻe ka huikau kūpono e pili ana i ka nui o ka poʻe e loaʻa i ka maʻi. E hoʻomau anei ka piʻi ʻana o Omicron a hiki i ka wā e hoʻopau ai ka "held immunity"? A i ʻole e hoʻemi mua ʻia ka piʻi ʻana o Omicron e like me ka mea i ʻike ʻia (me ka hiki ʻole ke wehewehe) ma ʻApelika Hema kahi i piʻi mua ai ʻo Omicron? I kēlā me kēia hihia, he aha ka manaʻo o ʻekolu, ʻeono, a ʻewalu paha pule o ka laha wikiwiki? He aha kā mākou e manaʻo ai e ʻike ma waena o kēia manawa a me ʻApelila?
ʻO kēia wānana e manaʻo ʻia e hoʻonui ʻia nā haukapila a hele paha i loko o Gehena. ʻAʻole wale ka nui o ka poʻe e pono ai ke kōkua, akā ʻo ka luhi a me ka maʻi o nā limahana nui. ʻAe, ʻoi aku ka haʻahaʻa o ka haukapila mai Covid-Omicron, ʻoi aku hoʻi no ka poʻe i hoʻopaʻa ʻia, ma mua o Delta, akā ʻo kahi hapa liʻiliʻi liʻiliʻi o ka hale maʻi o ka nui o ka poʻe i loaʻa i ka maʻi hou, ʻo ia ka nui o nā hale maʻi like ʻole.
Pēlā nō, manaʻo wau i kekahi mau pule a i ʻole mau mahina o ka maʻi maʻi nui o Omicron e manaʻo ʻia he nui nā hui e loaʻa i nā limahana he nui i ka manawa like. Ua ʻike mua mākou iā Omicron i nā mokulele mokulele no ka nele o nā limahana. Ke pani nei i nā hale kūʻai. E pili koke ana ia i ke kaʻa kaʻa, ka hana ʻana, a me nā mea hou aku. Inā hoʻomau nā limahana hou i ka hana, e piʻi aʻe ka nui o ka poʻe i maʻi i ka hopena o kēia manawa. Inā ʻaʻole hana nā limahana hou, e hoʻopilikia nui ʻia ka ʻoihana. ʻOiaʻiʻo, he manaʻo kūpono ʻo ka hoʻopiʻi ʻana o ka CDC i nā kuʻuna kuʻuna ʻaʻole wale a i ʻole he mea nui paha i ka hoʻopaʻa ʻana i nā lobbyists ʻimi waiwai, akā ma muli o ka hopohopo e pili ana i ka hoʻolako ʻana i nā pono hana, nā meaʻai, etc.
ʻO kēlā me kēia hanana, ke nānā nei i mua o ʻApelila, i ka loaʻa ʻana o Ianuali, Pepeluali, a me Malaki me nā pohō a mākou e hoʻomanawanui nei, manaʻo wau ʻekolu mau nīnau kumu mua.
ʻO ka mea mua, me nā helu he nui i loaʻa i ka maʻi, nui asymptomatically, ehia mau kānaka, e loaʻa i nā hopena lōʻihi? ʻAʻole kū wale ka nīnau no nā hōʻailona kino, akā no nā hōʻailona noʻonoʻo hoʻi, no nā limahana olakino a me nā ʻōpio.
ʻO ka lua, me ka hapa o ka "held" i loaʻa i ka maʻi, pehea ka maʻi e loaʻa hou ai ka maʻi? ʻO ka ʻoiaʻiʻo o ka maʻi ʻana o Omicron i ka poʻe i hoʻopaʻa ʻia, ʻoiai ma ka awelika, ʻoi aku ka liʻiliʻi o ka maʻi ma mua o ka poʻe i hoʻopaʻa ʻole ʻia, ʻo ia ke ʻano o ka loaʻa ʻana o ka maʻi ʻaʻole e hiki ke loaʻa hou? Manaʻolana ʻo Omicron e hāʻawi i ka pale ʻokoʻa o kahi ʻano ʻē aʻe ma mua o nā lāʻau lapaʻau i lawe ʻia, i hiki ai ke hoʻokō ʻia ka pale ʻana.
Hōʻike ka mea i luna nei i ke ʻano o ka manaʻo maikaʻi a kekahi e ʻōlelo nei. ʻO ia hoʻi, no ka mea ʻoi aku ka liʻiliʻi o ka Omicron i ka make akā ʻoi aku ka maʻi lele, hiki iā mākou ke hiki koke i ka pale pale. E ʻeha nui mākou akā manaʻolana i ka weliweli pōkole pōkole i loko o nā halemai a me nā poho pili ma muli o nā palena o ka mālama olakino, a e ʻeha mākou i ka pilikia koʻikoʻi akā ke manaʻolana hou nei ka pilikia o ka hoʻokele waiwai pōkole, akā i ka hopena e lilo ʻo Covid i pilikia e like me ka maʻi maʻi, a malia paha. liʻiliʻi ma mua o ka flu-like. ʻO kēlā hopena hope loa no Covid kahi hiʻohiʻona hiki ke manaʻolana no ka ʻaoʻao ʻē aʻe o nā poho weliweli e hiki mai ana. ʻAʻole nā hiʻohiʻona rose a i ʻole apocalyptic e hoʻomākaukau i ka poʻe e hoʻokō maikaʻi.
Akā, aia kahi "Akā" ma mua o ka pilikia o ka nui o ka make e hiki mai ana o ka maʻi ʻole, ka pilikia o ka haukapila, a me nā maʻi maʻi ākea. Ma hea a i ka manawa hea e ulu ai nā hoʻololi i ka pōʻai maʻi o kēlā me kēia kanaka? E pili ana i kēia hope, ua ʻike mākou iā Covid mutate e lilo i mea maʻi nui loa - a ʻoi aku ka maikaʻi, ʻoi aku ka liʻiliʻi o ka make. Inā hoʻomau mākou e ʻike i nā hewa hoʻopiʻi mau, i kapa ʻia ʻo mutations, i loko o nā kino maʻi o ka poʻe i mālama ʻole ʻia, he aha ka hopena i ka wā e hoʻomau ai ka mutation i ka hiʻohiʻona hyper contagious o Omicron akā e piʻi nui ana i kona make a koi i kahi kano hou?
ʻAʻole paʻakikī ka pane. A no laila ʻaʻole ia e hahai i ka pale ʻana i ka hoʻomau mau ʻana o nā mutations hou he hana koʻikoʻi ia e pale aku ai i ka pōʻino loa? A ʻaʻole anei ʻo ia ke ʻano o ka hana ʻimi waiwai o kēia manawa o ka lāʻau lapaʻau nui a me ke aupuni hoʻokō hui e keʻakeʻa pū ana i ka hoʻopaʻa ʻana i ka honua holoʻokoʻa a pale i ka hoʻomohala ʻana i nā ʻōnaehana holoʻokoʻa e hana pinepine ai no nā pathogen hou e ulu ana, ʻaʻole ia he pepehi kanaka wale nō. no ka loaʻa kālā, akā no ka suicidal honua? ʻAʻole anei ia manaʻo e pono nā kānaka āpau i ka mālama ola manuahi, maikaʻi, mālama olakino no nā mea āpau?
Pono mākou e "nānā i luna" ʻaʻole wale e pili ana i ka hoʻomehana honua a me ke kaiaola, akā e pili ana i nā mea ʻē aʻe.
Hāʻawi kālā ʻia ʻo ZNetwork ma o ka lokomaikaʻi o kāna poʻe heluhelu.
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