PARIS, Feb 1 (IPS) - ʻO ka loiloi ʻehā o ka Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) e hōʻoia i nā wānana pōʻino e pili ana i ka hoʻomehana honua a me kona hopena i ke ʻano a me nā pōʻaiapuni o ke aniau i nā makahiki e hiki mai ana.
Ke hui nei ka IPCC ma Palika i kēia pule e hoʻoponopono a hōʻike i ka hoʻolālā hope o kāna loiloi ʻehā e pili ana i ka hoʻomehana honua. ʻO ka hōʻike, ka mea e hoʻokuʻu hope ʻia ʻo Feb.
Ua ʻōlelo ʻia kahi kikoʻī o ka palapala, "Ua pālahalaha ʻia ka hoʻomehana anthropogenic (hana ʻia e ke kanaka) a hiki ke ʻike ʻia ma nā ʻike wela i lawe ʻia ma ka ʻilikai, i ka lewa manuahi a me nā moana.
"Malia paha ʻaʻole hiki ke wehewehe ʻia ka hoʻomehana ʻana i ʻike ʻia i ka hapalua haneli i hala me ka ʻole o ka hoʻoikaika ʻana o waho (hana kanaka)," i hoʻohui ai ka pepa.
ʻO nā mahana, i ʻōlelo ʻia e ka hōʻike hiki ke piʻi i ka awelika honua o 6 degere ma ka makahiki 2100, hiki ke alakaʻi i ka piʻi ʻana o ka ʻilikai a me ka luku ʻana i nā kūlanakauhale a me nā panalāʻau e kokoke ana i ke kai, ka hoʻoheheʻe ʻana o nā glaciers ma ka Pole ʻĀkau a ma nā wahi mauna kiʻekiʻe. e like me nā Alps ʻEulopa, a me ka maloʻo a me ka wao nahele ma nā wahi ākea.
Hoʻomaopopo ka IPCC i nā hawewe wela, e like me ka mea i ʻike ʻia ma 2003 ma ʻEulopa, e ʻoi aku ka ikaika, pinepine a lōʻihi i nā makahiki e hiki mai ana, a ʻoi aku ka ikaika o nā ʻino a me nā ʻino.
Hōʻike pū ka pepa e lōʻihi ka hopena o ka hoʻokuʻu ʻana i ka hale kōmaena. "Ke kenekulia iwakāluakūmākahi ... e kōkua ka hoʻokuʻu ʻana o carbon-dioxide i ka hoʻomehana ʻana a me ka piʻi ʻana o ka ʻilikai ma mua o hoʻokahi millennium, ma muli o nā manawa i koi ʻia no ka wehe ʻana i kēia kinoea."
Ua hoʻokumu ʻia ka IPCC e hui pū ana i nā haneli o nā ʻelele aupuni a me nā loea e pili ana i ke aniau, i ka makahiki 1998 e ka United Nations Environment Programme a me ka World Meteorological Programme.
ʻO ke kuleana o ka IPCC "e loiloi i ka ʻike ʻepekema, ʻenehana a me ka socio-economic e pili ana i ka ʻike ʻepekema o ka hopena o ka hoʻololi ʻana i ke aniau, kona hopena a me nā koho no ka hoʻololi a me ka hoʻēmi ʻana. .”
Ua hoʻopuka ka IPCC i ʻekolu mau loiloi e pili ana i ka hoʻomehana honua, ʻo ka mea hope loa i hoʻokuʻu ʻia i ka makahiki 2001. Ma ka hōʻike o kēia manawa o ka hōʻike ʻehā, ua ʻae nā ʻepekema a me nā ʻelele aupuni mai ka makahiki 2001, "ka hilinaʻi i ka loiloi o nā hāʻawi kanaka i ke aniau hou. ua piʻi nui ka loli.
Ma ka hui hoʻolauleʻa ma Paris, ʻo Rajendra Pachauri, ka mea ʻepekema India e noho luna ana ma luna o ka IPCC, ua hōʻike i ka manaʻolana e "hoʻokō ʻia nā kulekele a hana ʻia" e kū i nā pilikia i loaʻa mai ka hoʻokuʻu ʻana i ka greenhouse a me ka hoʻomehana honua.
"Manaʻo wau e hoʻopūhoihoi kēia hōʻike i ka poʻe, nā aupuni, i ka hana ʻoi aku ka koʻikoʻi, no ka mea ʻaʻole hiki iā ʻoe ke loaʻa i kahi ʻoihana ʻepekema ʻoi aku ka ʻoiaʻiʻo a ʻoi aku ka hilinaʻi," wahi āna.
Ua paʻi ʻia nā ʻike like e nā ʻepekema a puni ka honua i nā mahina i hala iho nei.
I loko o kahi hōʻike e pili ana i nā hopena o ka hoʻomehana honua i nā glaciers ʻEulopa a me nā hana haʻuki e pili ana i hōʻike ʻia i ka mahina ʻo Dekemaba i hala ma Paris, ua ʻōlelo ka Organization of Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), kahi hui o 30 mau ʻāina waiwai, ʻo nā makahiki 1994, 2000, 2002 a me 2003. ʻO 500 ka mea mehana loa ma ka moʻolelo ma ʻEulopa Alps i nā makahiki he XNUMX i hala.
ʻO ka hōʻike o ka OECD i kapa ʻia ʻo 'Climate Change in the European Alps' e aʻo mai "e hana ana nā ʻano hoʻohālike o ke ania i nā loli nui aʻe i nā makahiki e hiki mai ana, me ka hoʻemi ʻana o ka uhi hau ma nā wahi haʻahaʻa, ka emi ʻana o nā glaciers a me ka hoʻoheheʻe ʻana i ka permafrost ma nā kiʻekiʻe kiʻekiʻe, a me nā loli i ka mahana a ʻoi loa ka ua.
Hoʻopili pū ka OECD i kēia hoʻololi ʻana i ke aniau me ka hoʻokuʻu ʻana i ka hale kōmaena, ʻoi aku ka nui o ka carbon dioxide. ʻO kekahi o nā kumu nui o ka hoʻokuʻu ʻia ʻana o ka hale ʻōmaʻomaʻo anthropogenic, ʻo ia ka puhi ʻana o nā mea puhi mōʻalihaku, ʻoi aku ka carbon a me ka aila mineral.
Wahi a ka OECD, inā piʻi ka wela o ka honua i 4 degere i kēia kenekulia, e nalowale ka hapa nui o nā glaciers o ʻEulopa, a e paʻi nā ʻauwaha a me nā wai i nā wahi kokoke i nā mauna.
Wahi a ka Austrian Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, ua ʻoi aku ka mahana o nā Alps i kēia lā ma mua o kēlā me kēia manawa i nā makahiki 1,300 i hala.
ʻO kekahi hōʻike ʻē aʻe, na ka Max-Planck-Institute for Meteorology (MPIM) ma Hamburg, Kelemānia, ua hoʻoholo pū ʻia e piʻi ka mahana o ka honua i 4 degere ma ka makahiki 2100.
"Ma muli o kēia mehana, hiki ke piʻi ka ʻilikai ma ka awelika ma kahi o 30 kenimika," wahi a ka pepa i hoʻokuʻu ʻia i ka mahina o Kepakemapa i hala. Manaʻo ka MPIM "ma lalo o kekahi mau kūlana, e heheʻe loa ka hau kai ma ka arctic. Ma ʻEulopa, ʻoi aku ka maloʻo a me ka mahana o ke kauwela, a pili kēia i ka mahiʻai. E ʻoi aku ka mahana a me ka pulu ka hoʻoilo. ʻO kahi hopena ʻē aʻe o ka lewa wela e lilo i mau hanana koʻikoʻi e like me ka ua nui me nā kahe.
Eia naʻe kekahi hōʻike, na ka German Advisory Council on Global Change i paʻi ʻia i ka makahiki i hala e ʻōlelo ana "e hoʻomehana ana ka wai o ka moana, ke piʻi wikiwiki aʻe ka ʻilikai, ke piʻi aʻe nei ka ʻakika o ka moana a ke hoʻoweliweli ʻia nei nā kaiaola kai."
ʻO nā hōʻike a pau i hōʻike ʻia e kāhea ana i ka hōʻemi nui ʻana o nā kinoea hoʻomaʻemaʻe, e like me ke Kyoto Protocol i komo i ka mana Feb. 16, 2005. ʻO ka pahuhopu o ka protocol ʻo ia ka hoʻopaʻa ʻana i nā koina kinoea hoʻomehana honua i ka lewa "ma kahi pae e pale ai i ka hoʻopilikia ʻana i nā anthropogenic. me ka ʻōnaehana aniau.
I kēlā hopena, kāhea ka protocol i nā ʻāina ʻoihana e hōʻemi i kā lākou hoʻokuʻu ʻana i ka hale kōmaena i kēia manawa. Ma kahi o nā ʻāina ʻoihana āpau i kau inoa i ka protocol, manaʻo ʻo ʻAmelika a me Australia.
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