Bayan da ya jagoranci tsattsauran ra'ayi na Isra'ila zuwa nasara a zaben na watan Nuwamban da ya gabata, Benjamin Netanyahu mai fafutuka ya yi fatan hanzarta dawo da tattakin Tel Aviv zuwa ga daidaitawa da gwamnatocin Larabawa.
Netanyahu har yanzu yana tashi sama daga abin da ake kira Ibrahim ya Yarda, yarjejeniyoyin da aka kulla a karkashin gwamnatin Trump tsakanin Isra'ila a daya bangaren, da kuma United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Sudan da kuma Morocco a daya bangaren.
Amma akwai manyan ayyukan da ba a gama ba ga gwamnati mai zuwa: Saudi Arabia.
Ko da yake Riyadh ya yi manyan motsi don jin daɗi har zuwa Tel Aviv, masarautar har yanzu tana nan a ƙarƙashin Yarjejeniyar Ibrahim.
Kuma kamar yadda Netanyahu kansa yarda a watan Nuwamba, dangantakar diflomasiyya da kasuwanci tare da ƙananan ƙasashen Larabawa "ba ta faru ba tare da amincewar Saudiyya ba."
Netanyahu ya yi iƙirarin cewa a ƙarshe kulla dangantaka ta yau da kullun da Saudis zai zama "tsalle tsalle”Cewa zai "Ya kawo karshen rikicin Isra'ila da Falasdinu yadda ya kamata" - mai yiwuwa ta hanyar ware da raunana Falasdinawa har ma da gaba, ko kuma Isra'ilawa dole ne su yi fata.
Haka kuma zai karfafa axis da Amurka ke jagoranta Iran, da dadewa babban makiyin gwamnatoci a Tel Aviv da Riyadh.
Watakila fatan za a yi wa Saudiyya man shanu, Netanyahu a watan Disamba an bukaci jama'a Washington za ta sake jaddada aniyar ta ga tsaron Saudiyya - a cikin mummunan dangantaka tsakanin Fadar White House da cikakken masarautar.
Gwamnatin Biden - wacce a koyaushe ta kasance mai sha'awar yarjejeniyar Abraham kamar yadda Trump - a fili ya yi iya ƙoƙarinsa don sasanta tattaunawar ta baya don ƙoƙarin cimma yarjejeniyar Saudiyya da Isra'ila. The Wall Street Journal saukar a watan Maris.
Amma matsananciyar bukatu An bayar da rahoton cewa Saudis ta gabatar - garantin tsaro na Amurka, ƙarin tallace-tallacen makamai da taimakon shirin nukiliyar farar hula - ya yi kama da an tsara su don a ƙi, don haka don samar da Riyadh hanyar fita daga rungumar Isra'ila.
Wannan ita ce babbar alama ta farko da ke nuna cewa Saudiyyar na samun sauyin zuciya game da mayar da dangantakarsu da Isra'ila zuwa aure.
"Ci gaba mai haɗari ga Isra'ila"
A halin da ake ciki, a wannan watan ne aka yi girgizar kasa ta diflomasiyya: Maimakon kulla dangantakarta da Tel Aviv da kuma sanya hannu a kai a kai ga yakin da Isra'ila ta yi kan Iran, Saudiyya ta yanke shawarar yin sulhu da Tehran.
Ko da mafi muni daga Isra'ila - kuma mafi mahimmanci, hangen nesa na Amurka, an daidaita dangantakar tarihi ta hanyar Sin, wanda girma na kasa da kasa, kwarin gwiwa da ikonsa ke sanya kararrawa na kararrawa tsakanin masu kula da masarauta a Washington.
Kasar Sin, wacce ba ta taba yin irin wannan gagarumin ci gaba a fannin diflomasiyya ba a wannan yanki - rawar da Amurkawa ke mamaye da ita - a yanzu. miƙa don sauƙaƙe tattaunawar zaman lafiya tsakanin Isra'ila da Falasdinawa.
Tsohon Firaministan Isra'ila Naftali Bennett aka bayyana sake dawo da dangantaka tsakanin Iran da Saudi Arabiya a matsayin "babban ci gaba mai hatsari ga Isra'ila kuma babbar nasara ta diflomasiyya ga Iran."
Cibiyar Nazarin Tsaro ta Kasa a Jami'ar Tel Aviv, wata cibiyar tunani ce da tsofaffin jami'an leken asirin Isra'ila da kafa sojan Isra'ila suka yi, ta buga wani rahoto. Labari yana kuka da cewa "Isra'ila, wacce da alama tana kan matakin karbuwa a cikin kasashen Larabawa, an yi watsi da ita a yanzu."
Bayan nasarar Iran da Saudiyya, gwamnatin Biden aikawa Daraktan CIA William Burns zuwa Riyadh don karantawa 'yan Saudis aikin tarzoma.
Amma babban jami'in leken asirin Amurka ya gamu da rashin amincewa Mohammad bin Salman, a lokaci guda yarima mai jiran gado, firayim minista kuma mai cikakken iko a masarautar.
A cewar David Ignatius, a Washington Post Mawallafin marubucin da ke bayyana ra'ayin gwamnatin Amurka, Mohammad bin Salman "ya fadawa amintattun Saudiyya cewa Amurka ta kasance abokiyar kawancen masarautar, amma ba abokiyar zamanta daya tilo ba."
Yarima mai jiran gadon ya shaida wa wadannan masu ciki cewa nan take magabata za su amince da bukatar Amurka, amma a cewar Ignatius, mai mulkin Saudiyya na yanzu ya ce "Na karya hakan ne saboda ina son a mayar da al'amura."
Daga cikin abubuwan da Saudiyyar ke yi a kai a kai na kin amincewa da bukatar Amurka na kara yawan man da ake hakowa don rage farashinsa.
Ignatius ya fassara wannan a matsayin sakon Saudiyya cewa "Amurka ba ta sake kiran harbi a Tekun Fasha ko kasuwar mai ba. Don mafi kyau ko mafi muni, zamanin mulkin Amurka a Gabas ta Tsakiya ya ƙare."
A halin da ake ciki dai Saudiyya da Iran na ci gaba da tuhume-tuhumen sake bude ofisoshin jakadancin da kuma kira shugabannin juna zuwa manyan biranen su.
Mafi mahimmanci, kusantarsu ta sake kasancewa tare da ƙwararrun shiga tsakani na kasar Sin - share fagen yarjejeniya don kawo karshen yakin Yemen.
Wannan zai zama mafi tabbataccen fa'ida kuma nan take ga mutanen wannan ƙasa, inda shekaru takwas of Harin bama-bamai da Saudiyya ke jagoranta, yaki da yunwa ya kashe dubban daruruwan mutane a cikin abin da Majalisar Dinkin Duniya ta kira mafi muni a cikin rikicin bil adama na duniya.
Amurka a kan raguwa
Sabbin yunƙurin Saudiyya da kuma tasirinsu ga Amurka da abokin cinikinta Isra'ila ba za a iya fahimtar su ba ne kawai a cikin yanayin sauye-sauyen yanayi na zamani. Wato hawan kasar Sin a matsayin kasa mai karfin fada a ji a duniya, da zurfafa alakarta da kasar Rasha da kuma rugujewar ikon Amurka.
Ƙarshen yana da alama yana haɓakawa saboda rashin ba da shawara na Washington da kuma ƙaddamar da ƙaddamar da ƙaddamarwa ga yakin wakili da Rasha wanda Ukraine ba ta da damar yin nasara.
Hubris da manyan Amurkawa da Turawa rungumi wannan yaki - 'yan watanni bayan ficewarsu na wulakanci da rudani daga Afganistan - an yi musu kaca-kaca da duwatsun gaskiya.
Domin duk yawan kuɗin da take kashewa na soja, Amurka kawai ba ta da albarkatun masana'antu da na soja - musamman tsarin tsaro na iska da kuma manyan bindigogi – don dorewar Ukraine a cikin wani mummunan yakin duniya na tsohon zamani a nahiyar Turai.
Takunkumin girgiza-da-girma da EU da Amurka suka sanyawa Kalaman Shugaba Joe Biden zai juya ruble cikin "rubble" da kuma nutsar da tattalin arzikin Rasha ba kawai gaba ɗaya ya kasa, amma sun ja baya ga marubutan su.
Yanzu kasashe a duniya suna accelerating de-dollarization - kasuwanci a cikin kudaden nasu maimakon na Amurka - don kare kansu daga makamin takunkumin da Washington ke amfani da shi.
Ko da Sakatariyar Baitulmali ta Biden Janet Yellen a fili gane a wannan watan cewa "akwai hadari idan muka yi amfani da takunkumin kudi da ke da nasaba da rawar da dala ke ciki wanda a kan lokaci zai iya lalata girman dala."
Duk wannan kira ne mai nisa daga inda Amurka ta tsaya a karshen yakin cacar baka: soja, diflomasiyya da tattalin arziki ba tare da abokin hamayya ba.
Babu wani iko da zai iya hada a dakaru mai karfi rabin miliyan sannan ta tura ta zuwa rabin duniya kamar yadda Amurka ta yi a 1990-91 don kwato Kuwait daga mamayar Iraqi.
Wannan “sabon tsarin duniya"Na mulkin soja da diflomasiyya na Amurka - kamar yadda Shugaba George H. W. Bush ya kira shi - ya kamata ya kasance har abada.
Aƙalla abin da neocons waɗanda suka ɗauki cikin bayan-9/11 mamayewar Amurka a Afghanistan da Iraq da fatan tabbatarwa.
Abokiyar dogaro
Amma hakan bai yi tasiri ba. Mummunan harin da Amurka ta kai wa Iraki a cikin 2003 ya haifar da rashin wanzuwar Amurka da tasiri mai dorewa sai dai kawai ya karfafa Iran - wani makasudi a kan jerin sunayen neocon.
Kamfanonin China ne, ba kamfanonin Amurka ba. wadanda a karshe suke sake gina kasar Iraki.
Gwamnatin Obama ta sauya yakin Libya ta hambarar da gwamnatin Muammar Gaddafi tare da maye gurbinsa da rashin bin doka da oda. kasa kasa da cibiya don fataucin bil adama.
The Yaƙin tsarin mulki da Amurka ke jagoranta a Siriya - wanda kuma ya dade ana kai hari ga ma'aurata - ta hanyar amfani da masu alaka da al-Qaida masu jihadi tsoma bakin Rasha ne ya dakatar da shi.
Yanzu, a cikin kusancin Iran da Saudi Arabia, Siriya ta kasance maraba da dawowa cikin rukunin Larabawa.
Kuma tabbas akwai kashin da Amurka ta sha a Afghanistan.
Me yasa aka daidaita?
Idan aka yi la’akari da wannan duka, da kyar mutum zai zargi Saudiyya da neman hanyar fita daga dogaro da Washington gaba daya – dangantakar da ke ya fara a 1945 kuma kawai ya ƙaru a cikin lokacin unipolar a ƙarshen yakin cacar baka da kuma bin yakin Gulf na 1990-91.
Daidaitawa tare da Isra'ila - a kan sharuɗɗan Washington da Tel Aviv - kawai yana da ma'ana a cikin mahallin da Saudis ta yi duk abin da ya dace don faranta wa abokan cinikin Amurka rai. Idan kuma hakan na nufin sayar da Falasdinawa da rungumar sahyoniyawa, to haka lamarin yake.
a cikin kunno kai multipolar duniya, Saudiya na da zabi kuma Mohammed bin Salman a fili ya yi niyyar binsu. Birnin Washington yana da nisan mil 7,000 daga Riyadh kuma ana ƙara ganinsa a matsayin mai jin ƙai da rashin dogaro.
Ita kuwa Iran za ta kasance makwabciyarta a kodayaushe kuma Saudiyya na zaune a nahiyar Eurasia daya da Rasha da China.
Haɓaka dangantakar tattalin arziki yana nufin cewa yanzu China ta kasance ta Saudi Arabia babban abokin ciniki.
A karshe dai, tsaron Saudiyya ba zai iya tabbatar da kyakkyawar alaka da wadanda take zaune kusa da su da kuma wadanda take kasuwanci da su ba.
Gaskiya na nutsewa a ciki
Har da jagorancin Larabawa maido da alaka tare da gwamnatin Syria da suka dade suna taimakawa Amurkawa kokarin hambarar da gwamnatin kasar na tsawon shekaru, Saudiyya na shirin yin maraba da jagorancin Hamas a cikin kwanaki masu zuwa.
Wannan matakin, wanda ya zo bayan shekaru da yawa, yana "kara yin dusashe fatan Isra'ila na dangantaka" da Saudi Arabia. bisa to The Times of Isra'ila.
Gaskiyar ta bayyana tana nutsewa har ma da wasu daga cikin manyan masu ba da shawara na Neocon na Washington cewa Saudis ba sa aiki a matsayin vassal mai dogaro da za a iya ba da umarni game da son Amurka.
Tun da farko wannan watan, shahohi Sanata Lindsey Graham na jam'iyyar Republican ya gana da Yarima mai jiran gado Mohammed bin Salman.
"Damar inganta dangantakar Amurka da Saudiyya gaskiya ce kuma sauye-sauyen da ake yi a Saudiyya daidai suke," in ji Graham bayan taron.
Sanatan ya kara da cewa yana fatan "yin aiki tare da gwamnati da 'yan jam'iyyar Republican da Democrat don ganin ko za mu iya daukar matakin da ya dace na dangantakar Amurka da Saudiyya."
Na yi ganawar gaskiya da gaske tare da yarima mai jiran gado na Saudiyya da manyan tawagarsa. Damar inganta dangantakar Amurka da Saudiyya na gaske ne kuma sauye-sauyen da ake yi a Saudiyya daidai suke.
- Lindsey Graham (@LindseyGrahamSC) Afrilu 11, 2023
Wannan shine Graham wanda yake da shi alkawari "Tsunami mai ban sha'awa" a kan Saudi Arabiya game da kisan gillar 2018 da tarwatsa 'yan adawar Saudiyya da kuma Washington Post Mawallafin Jamal Khashoggi, wanda CIA kammala Mohammed bin Salman ne ya ba da umarni da kansa.
Amma Graham bai ambaci wannan rashin jin daɗi ba, maimakon haka ya mai da hankali kan albishir na Saudis na ba da umarnin dala biliyan 37 na jiragen saman Boeing da aka kera a South Carolina, jihar Sanata.
Rudun Isra'ila
Bayan ziyarar tasa a Riyadh, Graham ya je birnin Kudus, inda ya shaidawa Benjamin Netanyahu cewa har yanzu Amurka na aiki tukuru don ganin an daidaita tsakanin Isra'ila da Saudiyya.
"Na gaya wa Muhammad bin Salman cewa lokaci mafi kyau don inganta dangantakarmu shine yanzu, cewa Shugaba Biden yana da matukar sha'awar daidaita dangantaka da Saudi Arabiya sannan kuma, Saudi Arabiya ta amince da kasar Yahudawa daya tilo," in ji Graham. Sanar da shi masaukinsa na Isra'ila.
"Muna son daidaitawa da zaman lafiya da Saudi Arabiya," in ji Netanyahu. "Wannan yarjejeniya na iya haifar da gagarumin sakamako, sakamakon tarihi ga Isra'ila, ga Saudiyya, ga yankin da kuma duniya."
Amma waɗancan ruɗi ne. The Saudi sha'awar a "zaman lafiya" tare da Isra'ila kololuwa a lokacin da Riyadh ji mafi m da kuma bukatar shore up ta dangantaka da Amurka. Yanzu da Masarautar ke bin dabarun da yawa, menene gaggawar?
Saudiyya da dimbin arzikin mai za su kasance suna da abin da za su ba wa wasu kasashe, don haka wasu zabuka.
Menene Isra'ila za ta iya bayarwa? Fasahar leƙen asirin sa da hi-tech da aka wuce gona da iri na iya zama da amfani ga wasu gwamnatoci amma ba su da bambanci.
Isra'ila na da a kankanin kuma mara gasa masana'antun masana'antu kuma ba shine babban mai samar da makamashi ba.
Shi ne, a maimakon haka, wani guba mai guba aikin matsuguni-mallaka na Yamma wanda ke kara zama mai ban tsoro da wuce gona da iri. Ba ta da ɗan bege na neman wani mai tallafawa mai sadaukarwa da karimci kamar Amurka.
Hakan na nufin cewa, yayin da ikon Amurka ke ci gaba da koma-baya a shiyya-shiyya da na duniya, haka Isra'ila za ta koma baya.
Har ila yau, babu wanda ya isa ya yi tunanin cewa gwamnatin Saudiyya tana da wata kiyayya ta ka'ida ta rungumar Isra'ila da sahyoniyanci. Ya riga ya nuna cewa ya fi son yin hakan idan ya dace da muradun tsarin mulki.
Amma idan kuma lokacin da daidaitawar Saudiyya da Isra'ila ta zo, zai fi yiwuwa saboda Isra'ilawa, ba Saudis ba, suna matukar neman hanyar rayuwa a duk inda za su iya fita daga cikin dindindin, rikicin wanzuwa:
Ba tare da gagarumin goyon bayan waje ba, mulkin mallaka na Sahayoniyawan da ke Palastinu na fuskantar makoma mai muni.
ZNetwork ana samun kuɗi ta hanyar karimcin masu karatun sa.
Bada Tallafi